Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Solana Up or Down - November 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
12
Down 67%
1 arb excluded
$761.52
-$10.17
Smart Money Signal
8 of 12 top traders (67%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 50.5¢ | $517.89 | $493.74 | +$0.4 | 54% 3579-3041 (6620) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 59.1¢ | $114.89 | $103.91 | -$10.98 | 54% 2366-2025 (4391) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 59.1¢ | $61.41 | $103.91 | +$42.5 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 46.8¢ | $53.48 | — | -$53.48 | |
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 63.9¢ | $51.88 | $50.27 | -$1.61 | 43% 1215-1584 (2799) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 70.5¢ | $32.37 | $43 | +$10.63 | 38% 1448-2335 (3783) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 65¢ | $20.55 | $30 | +$9.45 | 59% 3751-2555 (6306) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 80.6¢ | $13.38 | $16.6 | +$3.22 | 33% 1050-2176 (3226) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 48¢ | $12.49 | — | -$12.49 | 49% 2292-2354 (4646) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 82.3¢ | $11.58 | $12 | +$0.74 | 50% 4458-4532 (8990) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Downavg 73.5¢ | $7.35 | $10 | +$2.65 | 52% 3445-3233 (6678) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 70¢ | $1.4 | $2 | +$0.6 | 63% 4066-2434 (6500) |
 cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Upavg 16¢ | $1.12 | — | -$1.12 | 49% 1554-1593 (3147) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 40¢ | $18.82 | — | -$18.82 | 47% 2202-2452 (4654) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 16.1¢ | $3.83 | — | -$3.83 | 44% 2109-2719 (4828) |
Invested
$517.89
Value
$493.74
PnL
+$0.4
Record
54%
3579-3041 (6620)
Invested
$114.89
Value
$103.91
PnL
-$10.98
Record
54%
2366-2025 (4391)
Both legs:
Invested
$51.88
Value
$50.27
PnL
-$1.61
Record
43%
1215-1584 (2799)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$32.37
Value
$43
PnL
+$10.63
Record
38%
1448-2335 (3783)
Invested
$20.55
Value
$30
PnL
+$9.45
Record
59%
3751-2555 (6306)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$13.38
Value
$16.6
PnL
+$3.22
Record
33%
1050-2176 (3226)
Invested
$12.49
Value
—
PnL
-$12.49
Record
49%
2292-2354 (4646)
Invested
$11.58
Value
$12
PnL
+$0.74
Record
50%
4458-4532 (8990)
Invested
$7.35
Value
$10
PnL
+$2.65
Record
52%
3445-3233 (6678)
Invested
$1.4
Value
$2
PnL
+$0.6
Record
63%
4066-2434 (6500)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$1.12
Value
—
PnL
-$1.12
Record
49%
1554-1593 (3147)
Invested
$18.82
Value
—
PnL
-$18.82
Record
47%
2202-2452 (4654)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$3.83
Value
—
PnL
-$3.83
Record
44%
2109-2719 (4828)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
Down — $493.74
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
13897651
Down — $50.27
OhioRiskManagement
Down — $43
aaa221
Down — $30
pspspsps5
Down — $16.6
uninformedfloww
CTRUp — $0
asdcaxz
Down — $12
soswald1
Down — $10
drfc4eybh7i8
Down — $2