Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
Resolved Up. 55% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
22
Down 55%
$281.75
-$650.78
Smart Money Signal
12 of 22 top traders (55%)12 hold an outcome priced under 50%20 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Downavg 50.1¢ | $525.06 | — | -$492.35 | 54% 3579-3041 (6620) |
 pspspsps5 | Upavg 1¢ | $1.05 | $105.1 | +$104.05 | 33% 1050-2176 (3226) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Upavg 35.7¢ | $28.25 | $79.2 | +$50.95 | 49% 2292-2354 (4646) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Downavg 85.7¢ | $28.73 | — | -$17.25 | 50% 4458-4532 (8990) |
13 13897651CTR<$100 | Downavg 71.5¢ | $79.95 | — | -$79.95 | 43% 1215-1584 (2799) |
SO soswald1CTR<$100 | Downavg 65.7¢ | $68.33 | — | -$58.42 | 52% 3445-3233 (6678) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 44.7¢ | $63.56 | — | -$63.56 | 54% 2366-2025 (4391) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Upavg 22.8¢ | $7.63 | $33.5 | +$25.87 | 42% 1711-2331 (4042) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 77.6¢ | $15.86 | $16 | +$0.14 | 50% 2442-2474 (4916) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 81.1¢ | $28.3 | — | -$25.49 | 38% 1448-2335 (3783) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 59.2¢ | $20.98 | — | -$17.23 | 65% 2454-1338 (3792) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $16.59 | $12 | -$4.59 | 63% 4066-2434 (6500) |
AL almach<$100 | Upavg 63¢ | $7.41 | $11.76 | +$4.35 | 51% 1438-1373 (2811) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 60.4¢ | $11.16 | — | -$11.16 | 44% 2109-2719 (4828) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 60.4¢ | $34.1 | — | -$34.1 | 47% 2202-2452 (4654) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 60.4¢ | $4.95 | $8.19 | +$3.24 | 37% 1368-2322 (3690) |
 cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Downavg 72.7¢ | $34.36 | — | -$34.36 | 49% 1554-1593 (3147) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 26¢ | $1.56 | $6 | +$4.44 | 47% 2109-2347 (4456) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $5.66 | — | -$5.66 | 67% 3450-1707 (5157) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 53¢ | $3.31 | $5 | +$1.69 | 48% 2164-2388 (4552) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Upavg 43¢ | $2.15 | $5 | +$2.85 | 48% 1276-1362 (2638) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 91¢ | $4.95 | — | -$4.23 | 59% 3751-2555 (6306) |
Invested
$525.06
Value
—
PnL
-$492.35
Record
54%
3579-3041 (6620)
pspspsps5Invested
$1.05
Value
$105.1
PnL
+$104.05
Record
33%
1050-2176 (3226)
Invested
$28.25
Value
$79.2
PnL
+$50.95
Record
49%
2292-2354 (4646)
Invested
$28.73
Value
—
PnL
-$17.25
Record
50%
4458-4532 (8990)
Invested
$79.95
Value
—
PnL
-$79.95
Record
43%
1215-1584 (2799)
Invested
$68.33
Value
—
PnL
-$58.42
Record
52%
3445-3233 (6678)
Invested
$63.56
Value
—
PnL
-$63.56
Record
54%
2366-2025 (4391)
Invested
$7.63
Value
$33.5
PnL
+$25.87
Record
42%
1711-2331 (4042)
Invested
$15.86
Value
$16
PnL
+$0.14
Record
50%
2442-2474 (4916)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$28.3
Value
—
PnL
-$25.49
Record
38%
1448-2335 (3783)
Invested
$20.98
Value
—
PnL
-$17.23
Record
65%
2454-1338 (3792)
Invested
$16.59
Value
$12
PnL
-$4.59
Record
63%
4066-2434 (6500)
Invested
$7.41
Value
$11.76
PnL
+$4.35
Record
51%
1438-1373 (2811)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$11.16
Value
—
PnL
-$11.16
Record
44%
2109-2719 (4828)
Invested
$34.1
Value
—
PnL
-$34.1
Record
47%
2202-2452 (4654)
Invested
$4.95
Value
$8.19
PnL
+$3.24
Record
37%
1368-2322 (3690)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$34.36
Value
—
PnL
-$34.36
Record
49%
1554-1593 (3147)
ohioism<$100Invested
$1.56
Value
$6
PnL
+$4.44
Record
47%
2109-2347 (4456)
Invested
$5.66
Value
—
PnL
-$5.66
Record
67%
3450-1707 (5157)
Invested
$3.31
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.69
Record
48%
2164-2388 (4552)
Invested
$2.15
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.85
Record
48%
1276-1362 (2638)
Invested
$4.95
Value
—
PnL
-$4.23
Record
59%
3751-2555 (6306)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
CTRDown — $0
pspspsps5
Up — $105.1
uninformedfloww
Up — $79.2
asdcaxz
CTRDown — $0
13897651
CTRDown — $0
soswald1
CTRDown — $0
ply-pm2
CTRDown — $0
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
Up — $33.5
dvasdkasodk
Up — $16
OhioRiskManagement
CTRDown — $0