Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 50%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$756.61

Combined PnL

-$542.18

Smart Money Signal

Down

10 of 20 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed10 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up10 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares883

Combined PnL-$583.41

Down10 traders

Total Value$631.61

Total Shares632

Combined PnL+$41.23

Up — 50%Down — 50%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92CTR	Upavg 49.6¢	$520.93	—	-$488.69	54% 3546-3013 (6559)
HO hoodquant	Downavg 97.9¢	$357.25	$364.82	+$7.58	98% 3774-79 (3853)
SO soswald1ARB<$100	Upavg 50¢	$150	$125	-$10.95	52% 3418-3216 (6634)
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$62.5	$125	+$60.35
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$70	—	-$71.3
13 13897651<$100	Downavg 50.7¢	$95.87	$96.85	+$0.98	43% 1206-1573 (2779)
UN uninformedfloww<$100	Downavg 65.5¢	$40.05	$61.18	+$21.13	49% 2276-2326 (4602)
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Downavg 56.1¢	$27.53	$41.96	+$14.43	44% 2099-2693 (4792)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Downavg 73.5¢	$20.59	$19.84	-$0.75	65% 2432-1333 (3765)
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100	Upavg 43.3¢	$21.51	—	-$21.51	50% 4444-4507 (8951)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Upavg 1¢	$1.31	—	-$1.31	33% 1045-2151 (3196)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 83.7¢	$21.62	$12.21	-$4.71	67% 3426-1692 (5118)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 92.9¢	$23.32	$12.5	+$1.31	63% 4035-2416 (6451)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Downavg 91¢	$10.12	$11.12	+$1	48% 2150-2369 (4519)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Downavg 97.5¢	$9.8	$10.05	+$0.25	50% 2427-2459 (4886)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Upavg 49¢	$17.59	—	-$17.59	47% 2188-2425 (4613)
ohioismCTR<$100	Upavg 38.7¢	$9.32	—	-$9.32	47% 2089-2333 (4422)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Upavg 34.1¢	$20.25	—	-$9.18	59% 3720-2542 (6262)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100	Upavg 63¢	$3.15	—	-$3.15	52% 2695-2461 (5156)
cryingbabydicer87<$100	Downavg 99¢	$1.06	$1.07	+$0.01	49% 1545-1582 (3127)
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100	Upavg 17.1¢	$17.2	—	+$1.51	54% 2350-2009 (4359)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Upavg 6¢	$4.27	—	-$4.27	38% 1439-2312 (3751)
SU suntoriCTR<$100	Upavg 64.7¢	$29.89	—	-$29.89	46% 2814-3341 (6155)