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PolyConsensus
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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

Resolved Down. 38% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

13

Up 38%

Total Value

$340.86

Combined PnL

-$494.79

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 13 top traders (38%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares590
Combined PnL-$506.58
Down8 traders
Total Value$340.86
Total Shares341
Combined PnL+$11.79
Up — 38%Down — 62%
BY
ByteBadger92CTR
Up

Invested

$508.69

Value

—

PnL

-$481.45

Record

54%

3546-3013 (6559)

SO
soswald1
Down

Invested

$150

Value

$144

PnL

+$1.17

Record

52%

3418-3216 (6634)

HO
hoodquant<$100
Down

Invested

$95.03

Value

$97.93

PnL

+$2.9

Record

98%

3774-79 (3853)

13
13897651<$100
Down

Invested

$49.55

Value

$55.11

PnL

+$5.56

Record

43%

1206-1573 (2779)

AS
asdcaxz<$100
Down

Invested

$24.33

Value

$18.97

PnL

-$0.91

Record

50%

4444-4507 (8951)

ohioismCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$21

Value

—

PnL

-$21

Record

47%

2089-2333 (4422)

PL
ply-pm2<$100
Down

Invested

$5.44

Value

$6.22

PnL

+$0.78

Record

54%

2350-2009 (4359)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Down

Invested

$5.61

Value

$5.03

PnL

-$0.07

Record

63%

4035-2416 (6451)

DV
dvasdkasodk<$100
Down

Invested

$4.95

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.05

Record

50%

2427-2459 (4886)

AA
aaa221<$100
Down

Invested

$6.3

Value

$8.61

PnL

+$2.31

Record

59%

3720-2542 (6262)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$1.5

Value

—

PnL

-$1.5

Record

48%

2150-2369 (4519)

0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$0.08

Value

—

PnL

-$0.08

Record

42%

1702-2303 (4005)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$2.56

Value

—

PnL

-$2.56

Record

38%

1439-2312 (3751)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x07853bd1...9d1ab7
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1794693600

Traders in this Market

BY

ByteBadger92

CTR

Up — $0

-$481.45
SO

soswald1

Down — $144

+$1.17
HO

hoodquant

Down — $97.93

+$2.9
13

13897651

Down — $55.11

+$5.56
AS

asdcaxz

Down — $18.97

-$0.91

ohioism

CTR

Up — $0

-$21
PL

ply-pm2

Down — $6.22

+$0.78
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $5.03

-$0.07
DV

dvasdkasodk

Down — $5

+$0.05
AA

aaa221

Down — $8.61

+$2.31
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