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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

Resolved Up. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

14

Up 57%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$764.07

Combined PnL

$7.25

Smart Money Signal

Up

8 of 14 top traders (57%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up8 traders

Total Value$614.07

Total Shares614

Combined PnL+$12.1

Down6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares167

Combined PnL-$4.84

Up — 57%Down — 43%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92	Upavg 50¢	$501.17	$495	+$1.55	54% 3546-3013 (6559)
SO soswald1ARB<$100	Upavg 50¢	$150	$150	+$8.55	52% 3418-3216 (6634)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$75	$150	+$75
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$59.87	—	-$66.45
AS asdcaxz<$100	Upavg 74.5¢	$37.15	$42.13	+$4.97	50% 4444-4507 (8951)
13 13897651<$100	Upavg 84.6¢	$30.6	$26.77	-$3.83	43% 1206-1573 (2779)
OhioRiskManagement<$100	Upavg 94.4¢	$29.27	$17.18	-$2.79	38% 1439-2312 (3751)
PB PBot-5<$100	Upavg 35¢	$3.5	$10	+$6.5	48% 1266-1353 (2619)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100	Upavg 50¢	$5	$10	+$5	51% 1914-1874 (3788)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 98¢	$6.86	$7	+$0.14	67% 3426-1692 (5118)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 90.7¢	$5.44	$6	+$0.56	63% 4035-2416 (6451)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100	Downavg 6.9¢	$1.88	—	-$1.88	49% 1545-1582 (3127)
BoneOhioCTR<$100	Downavg 1¢	$1.01	—	-$1.01	71% 1607-666 (2273)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Downavg 2¢	$0.3	—	-$0.3	33% 1045-2151 (3196)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100	Downavg 10.4¢	$1.48	—	-$1.48	51% 3203-3131 (6334)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Downavg 2¢	$0.15	—	-$0.15	48% 2150-2369 (4519)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Downavg 1¢	$0.02	—	-$0.02	37% 1362-2297 (3659)

Invested

$501.17

Value

$495

PnL

+$1.55

Record

54%

3546-3013 (6559)

soswald1ARB<$100

Invested

$150

Value

$150

PnL

+$8.55

Record

52%

3418-3216 (6634)

Both legs:

Down$59.8750¢-$66.45

Invested

$37.15

Value

$42.13

PnL

+$4.97

Record

50%

4444-4507 (8951)

Invested

$30.6

Value

$26.77

PnL

-$3.83

Record

43%

1206-1573 (2779)

OhioRiskManagement<$100

Invested

$29.27

Value

$17.18

PnL

-$2.79

Record

38%

1439-2312 (3751)

Invested

$3.5

Value

$10

PnL

+$6.5

Record

48%

1266-1353 (2619)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100

Invested

$5

Value

$10

PnL

+$5

Record

51%

1914-1874 (3788)

Invested

$6.86

Value

$7

PnL

+$0.14

Record

67%

3426-1692 (5118)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$5.44

Value

$6

PnL

+$0.56

Record

63%

4035-2416 (6451)

cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100

Invested

$1.88

Value

—

PnL

-$1.88

Record

49%

1545-1582 (3127)

BoneOhioCTR<$100

Invested

$1.01

Value

—

PnL

-$1.01

Record

71%

1607-666 (2273)

pspspsps5CTR<$100

Invested

$0.3

Value

—

PnL

-$0.3

Record

33%

1045-2151 (3196)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100

Invested

$1.48

Value

—

PnL

-$1.48

Record

51%

3203-3131 (6334)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100

Invested

$0.15

Value

—

PnL

-$0.15

Record

48%

2150-2369 (4519)

antsaslykuCTR<$100

Invested

$0.02

Value

—

PnL

-$0.02

Record

37%

1362-2297 (3659)

Smart Money Signal

Up

8 of 14 top traders (57%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xd42273e7...09b8c6

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1794693300

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Up — $495

soswald1

Arbitrage — excluded

asdcaxz

Up — $42.13

13897651

Up — $26.77

OhioRiskManagement

Up — $17.18

PBot-5

Up — $10

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $10

asdaefef

Up — $7

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $6

cryingbabydicer87

Down — $0

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