Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
Resolved Down. 38% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
13
Down 38%
1 arb excluded
$805.94
-$8.12
Smart Money Signal
5 of 13 top traders (38%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed8 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 50Β’ | $507.67 | $495 | +$4.65 | 54% 3546-3013 (6559) |
| β Down leg | Downavg 50Β’ | $247.66 | $495 | +$252.25 | |
| β Up leg | Upavg 50Β’ | $247.5 | β | -$247.6 | |
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 71.2Β’ | $140.39 | $197.15 | +$56.76 | 49% 2276-2326 (4602) |
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 67.2Β’ | $57.25 | $62.5 | +$5.25 | 43% 1206-1573 (2779) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 28.4Β’ | $35.2 | β | -$35.2 | 54% 2350-2009 (4359) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 70.2Β’ | $27.99 | $32.2 | +$8.99 | 50% 4444-4507 (8951) |
PB PBot-5CTR<$100 | Upavg 50Β’ | $12.5 | β | -$12.5 | 48% 1266-1353 (2619) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Downavg 75Β’ | $9 | $12 | +$3 | 42% 1702-2303 (4005) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 89.6Β’ | $14.24 | $7.08 | +$0.44 | 63% 4035-2416 (6451) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 46Β’ | $2.43 | β | -$2.43 | 59% 3720-2542 (6262) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 24Β’ | $2.4 | β | -$2.4 | 47% 2188-2425 (4613) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 33Β’ | $6.5 | β | -$3.05 | 65% 2432-1333 (3765) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 4.3Β’ | $0.84 | β | -$0.84 | 33% 1045-2151 (3196) |
SO soswald1CTR<$100 | Upavg 41.7Β’ | $18.95 | β | -$18.95 | 52% 3418-3216 (6634) |
![]() OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 28.5Β’ | $7.2 | β | -$7.2 | 38% 1439-2312 (3751) |
Invested
$507.67
Value
$495
PnL
+$4.65
Record
54%
3546-3013 (6559)
Both legs:
Invested
$140.39
Value
$197.15
PnL
+$56.76
Record
49%
2276-2326 (4602)
Invested
$57.25
Value
$62.5
PnL
+$5.25
Record
43%
1206-1573 (2779)
Invested
$35.2
Value
β
PnL
-$35.2
Record
54%
2350-2009 (4359)
Invested
$27.99
Value
$32.2
PnL
+$8.99
Record
50%
4444-4507 (8951)
Invested
$12.5
Value
β
PnL
-$12.5
Record
48%
1266-1353 (2619)
Invested
$9
Value
$12
PnL
+$3
Record
42%
1702-2303 (4005)
Invested
$14.24
Value
$7.08
PnL
+$0.44
Record
63%
4035-2416 (6451)
Invested
$2.43
Value
β
PnL
-$2.43
Record
59%
3720-2542 (6262)
Invested
$2.4
Value
β
PnL
-$2.4
Record
47%
2188-2425 (4613)
Invested
$6.5
Value
β
PnL
-$3.05
Record
65%
2432-1333 (3765)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.84
Value
β
PnL
-$0.84
Record
33%
1045-2151 (3196)
Invested
$18.95
Value
β
PnL
-$18.95
Record
52%
3418-3216 (6634)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$7.2
Value
β
PnL
-$7.2
Record
38%
1439-2312 (3751)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage β excluded
uninformedfloww
Down β $197.15
13897651
Down β $62.5
ply-pm2
CTRUp β $0
asdcaxz
Down β $32.2
PBot-5
CTRUp β $0
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
Down β $12
drfc4eybh7i8
Down β $7.08
aaa221
CTRUp β $0
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
CTRUp β $0