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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Resolved Up. 36% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

11

Down 36%

Total Value

$155.61

Combined PnL

-$556.2

Smart Money Signal

Down

4 of 11 top traders (36%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares660

Combined PnL-$581.33

Up7 traders

Total Value$155.61

Total Shares156

Combined PnL+$25.13

Down — 36%Up — 64%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92CTR	Downavg 49.6¢	$517.04	—	-$494.07	54% 3546-3013 (6559)
13 13897651<$100	Upavg 67.5¢	$48.78	$46.74	-$2.04	43% 1206-1573 (2779)
SO soswald1<$100	Upavg 52.9¢	$21.27	$40.23	+$18.96	52% 3418-3216 (6634)
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100	Downavg 26.1¢	$15.76	—	-$15.76	54% 2350-2009 (4359)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 63.9¢	$14.27	$14.08	-$0.04	63% 4035-2416 (6451)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100	Upavg 60.6¢	$7.27	$12	+$4.73	42% 1702-2303 (4005)
AS asdcaxz<$100	Upavg 66¢	$15.85	$20	+$4.15	50% 4444-4507 (8951)
cryingbabydicer87<$100	Upavg 73.5¢	$17.85	$16.57	-$1.28	49% 1545-1582 (3127)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Upavg 89¢	$5.34	$6	+$0.66	50% 2427-2459 (4886)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Downavg 50.1¢	$12.59	—	-$10.19	38% 1439-2312 (3751)
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100	Downavg 66.2¢	$61.3	—	-$61.3	49% 2276-2326 (4602)

ByteBadger92CTR

Invested

$517.04

Value

—

PnL

-$494.07

Record

54%

3546-3013 (6559)

Invested

$48.78

Value

$46.74

PnL

-$2.04

Record

43%

1206-1573 (2779)

Invested

$21.27

Value

$40.23

PnL

+$18.96

Record

52%

3418-3216 (6634)

ply-pm2CTR<$100

Invested

$15.76

Value

—

PnL

-$15.76

Record

54%

2350-2009 (4359)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$14.27

Value

$14.08

PnL

-$0.04

Record

63%

4035-2416 (6451)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100

Invested

$7.27

Value

$12

PnL

+$4.73

Record

42%

1702-2303 (4005)

Invested

$15.85

Value

$20

PnL

+$4.15

Record

50%

4444-4507 (8951)

cryingbabydicer87<$100

Invested

$17.85

Value

$16.57

PnL

-$1.28

Record

49%

1545-1582 (3127)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$5.34

Value

$6

PnL

+$0.66

Record

50%

2427-2459 (4886)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100

Invested

$12.59

Value

—

PnL

-$10.19

Record

38%

1439-2312 (3751)

uninformedflowwCTR<$100

Invested

$61.3

Value

—

PnL

-$61.3

Record

49%

2276-2326 (4602)

Smart Money Signal

Down

4 of 11 top traders (36%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xf8d09a65...c7499e

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1794690000

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Down — $0

13897651

Up — $46.74

soswald1

Up — $40.23

ply-pm2

Down — $0

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $14.08

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $12

asdcaxz

Up — $20

cryingbabydicer87

Up — $16.57

dvasdkasodk

Up — $6

OhioRiskManagement

Down — $0

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