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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Resolved Up. 45% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

11

Down 40%

Total Value

$161.37

Combined PnL

-$497.08

Smart Money Signal

Down

5 of 11 top traders (45%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares546
Combined PnL-$508.66
Up6 traders
Total Value$161.37
Total Shares161
Combined PnL+$11.58
Down — 45%Up — 55%
BY
ByteBadger92CTR
Down

Invested

$522.7

Value

—

PnL

-$497.92

Record

54%

3484-2956 (6440)

13
13897651<$100
Up

Invested

$73.4

Value

$67.94

PnL

-$5.45

Record

43%

1190-1559 (2749)

PL
ply-pm2<$100
Up

Invested

$36.38

Value

$49.33

PnL

+$12.95

Record

54%

2316-1981 (4297)

AS
asdcaxz<$100
Up

Invested

$31.97

Value

$30.25

PnL

-$1.72

Record

50%

4397-4477 (8874)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$18.68

Value

—

PnL

-$14.13

Record

51%

3138-3071 (6209)

OhioRiskManagement<$100
Up

Invested

$5.15

Value

$5.75

PnL

+$4.95

Record

38%

1410-2275 (3685)

SO
soswald1<$100
Up

Invested

$2.25

Value

$5

PnL

+$2.75

Record

51%

3344-3190 (6534)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Up

Invested

$9.56

Value

$3.1

PnL

-$1.9

Record

62%

3967-2385 (6352)

0X
0x50f7CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.06

Value

—

PnL

-$0.06

Record

52%

1380-1282 (2662)

UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$8.1

Value

—

PnL

-$8.1

Record

50%

2249-2257 (4506)

0X
0xde5d9a7dce9faf8df086c066b698375c1d2d9192CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$40

Value

—

PnL

+$11.55

Record

40%

12-18 (30)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0xcb13abf8...faae76
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1794685800

Traders in this Market

BY

ByteBadger92

CTR

Down — $0

-$497.92
13

13897651

Up — $67.94

-$5.45
PL

ply-pm2

Up — $49.33

+$12.95
AS

asdcaxz

Up — $30.25

-$1.72
0X

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

CTR

Down — $0

-$14.13

OhioRiskManagement

Up — $5.75

+$4.95
SO

soswald1

Up — $5

+$2.75
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $3.1

-$1.9
0X

0x50f7

CTR

Down — $0

-$0.06
UN

uninformedfloww

CTR

Down — $0

-$8.1
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