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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

Resolved Up. 70% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

10

Up 70%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$793.9

Combined PnL

-$3.81

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 10 top traders (70%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up7 traders

Total Value$158.04

Total Shares158

Combined PnL+$1.78

Down3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares65

Combined PnL-$5.59

Up — 70%Down — 30%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 49.8¢	$504.21	$495.86	-$2.49	54% 3514-2992 (6506)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50.1¢	$248.38	$495.86	+$248.76
└ Down leg	Downavg 49.8¢	$251.25	—	-$251.25
SO soswald1ARB<$100	Upavg 50¢	$150	$140	+$0.6	51% 3392-3202 (6594)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$70	$140	+$70.7
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$67.5	—	-$70.1
OhioRiskManagement<$100	Upavg 99¢	$75.1	$75.86	+$0.76	38% 1429-2293 (3722)
13 13897651<$100	Upavg 57.8¢	$43.93	$44.81	+$0.88	43% 1196-1570 (2766)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Downavg 2.2¢	$1.07	—	-$1.07	33% 1042-2138 (3180)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100	Upavg 69.7¢	$22.53	$14.14	-$5.94	51% 3173-3101 (6274)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Upavg 68¢	$6.8	$10	+$3.2	48% 2136-2349 (4485)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100	Upavg 61¢	$3.66	$6	+$2.34	42% 1686-2284 (3970)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 66¢	$4.6	$5.23	+$0.63	67% 3403-1682 (5085)
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100	Downavg 38.5¢	$4.47	—	-$4.47	54% 2335-1997 (4332)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 57¢	$2.09	$2	-$0.09	63% 4009-2399 (6408)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Downavg 1¢	$0.05	—	-$0.05	37% 1353-2279 (3632)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$504.21

Value

$495.86

PnL

-$2.49

Record

54%

3514-2992 (6506)

Both legs:

Up$248.3850.1¢+$248.76

Down$251.2549.8¢-$251.25

soswald1ARB<$100

Invested

$150

Value

$140

PnL

+$0.6

Record

51%

3392-3202 (6594)

Both legs:

Up$7050¢+$70.7

Down$67.550¢-$70.1

OhioRiskManagement<$100

Invested

$75.1

Value

$75.86

PnL

+$0.76

Record

38%

1429-2293 (3722)

Invested

$43.93

Value

$44.81

PnL

+$0.88

Record

43%

1196-1570 (2766)

pspspsps5CTR<$100

Invested

$1.07

Value

—

PnL

-$1.07

Record

33%

1042-2138 (3180)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100

Invested

$22.53

Value

$14.14

PnL

-$5.94

Record

51%

3173-3101 (6274)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100

Invested

$6.8

Value

$10

PnL

+$3.2

Record

48%

2136-2349 (4485)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100

Invested

$3.66

Value

$6

PnL

+$2.34

Record

42%

1686-2284 (3970)

Invested

$4.6

Value

$5.23

PnL

+$0.63

Record

67%

3403-1682 (5085)

ply-pm2CTR<$100

Invested

$4.47

Value

—

PnL

-$4.47

Record

54%

2335-1997 (4332)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$2.09

Value

$2

PnL

-$0.09

Record

63%

4009-2399 (6408)

antsaslykuCTR<$100

Invested

$0.05

Value

—

PnL

-$0.05

Record

37%

1353-2279 (3632)

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 10 top traders (70%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xed624eff...749474

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1794685200

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

soswald1

Arbitrage — excluded

OhioRiskManagement

Up — $75.86

13897651

Up — $44.81

pspspsps5

Down — $0

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $14.14

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Up — $10

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $6

asdaefef

Up — $5.23

ply-pm2

Down — $0

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