Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
Resolved Down. 70% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
10
Down 70%
1 arb excluded
$772.9
-$2.56
Smart Money Signal
7 of 10 top traders (70%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 49.3Β’ | $517.89 | $484.18 | -$1.54 | 54% 3484-2956 (6440) |
| β Down leg | Downavg 49.9Β’ | $241.4 | $484.18 | +$249.56 | |
| β Up leg | Upavg 49.3Β’ | $249.2 | β | -$251.09 | |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 61.8Β’ | $137.72 | $118.73 | -$9.74 | 51% 3138-3071 (6209) |
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 57Β’ | $72.31 | $70.57 | -$1.74 | 43% 1190-1559 (2749) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Downavg 51.5Β’ | $26.34 | $40.26 | +$16.57 | 51% 3344-3190 (6534) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 66.4Β’ | $35.33 | $37.92 | +$5.8 | 50% 4397-4477 (8874) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 24.2Β’ | $16.72 | β | -$16.72 | 54% 2316-1981 (4297) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 48.4Β’ | $3.92 | $8.1 | +$4.18 | 64% 2389-1316 (3705) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 47.7Β’ | $6.08 | $8.13 | +$2.09 | 62% 3967-2385 (6352) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 49Β’ | $2.94 | β | -$2.94 | 42% 1669-2262 (3931) |
![]() ohioism<$100 | Downavg 32Β’ | $1.6 | $5 | +$3.4 | 47% 2060-2289 (4349) |
![]() OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 31.5Β’ | $3.46 | β | -$3.46 | 38% 1410-2275 (3685) |
Invested
$517.89
Value
$484.18
PnL
-$1.54
Record
54%
3484-2956 (6440)
Both legs:
Invested
$137.72
Value
$118.73
PnL
-$9.74
Record
51%
3138-3071 (6209)
Invested
$72.31
Value
$70.57
PnL
-$1.74
Record
43%
1190-1559 (2749)
Invested
$26.34
Value
$40.26
PnL
+$16.57
Record
51%
3344-3190 (6534)
Invested
$35.33
Value
$37.92
PnL
+$5.8
Record
50%
4397-4477 (8874)
Invested
$16.72
Value
β
PnL
-$16.72
Record
54%
2316-1981 (4297)
Invested
$3.92
Value
$8.1
PnL
+$4.18
Record
64%
2389-1316 (3705)
Invested
$6.08
Value
$8.13
PnL
+$2.09
Record
62%
3967-2385 (6352)
Invested
$2.94
Value
β
PnL
-$2.94
Record
42%
1669-2262 (3931)
ohioism<$100Invested
$1.6
Value
$5
PnL
+$3.4
Record
47%
2060-2289 (4349)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$3.46
Value
β
PnL
-$3.46
Record
38%
1410-2275 (3685)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage β excluded
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down β $118.73
13897651
Down β $70.57
soswald1
Down β $40.26
asdcaxz
Down β $37.92
ply-pm2
CTRUp β $0
asidjasiodja
Down β $8.1
drfc4eybh7i8
Down β $8.13
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
CTRUp β $0

ohioism
Down β $5