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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

Resolved Up. 29% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

14

Down 29%

Total Value

$430.08

Combined PnL

-$492.14

Smart Money Signal

Down

4 of 14 top traders (29%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares588
Combined PnL-$513.55
Up10 traders
Total Value$430.08
Total Shares430
Combined PnL+$21.41
Down — 29%Up — 71%
BY
ByteBadger92CTR
Down

Invested

$506.9

Value

—

PnL

-$498.7

Record

54%

3484-2956 (6440)

SO
soswald1
Up

Invested

$150.98

Value

$151.66

PnL

+$8.06

Record

51%

3344-3190 (6534)

0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
Up

Invested

$137.92

Value

$139.98

PnL

+$2.06

Record

42%

1669-2262 (3931)

13
13897651<$100
Up

Invested

$45.54

Value

$43.21

PnL

-$2.33

Record

43%

1190-1559 (2749)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100
Up

Invested

$31.5

Value

$36.86

PnL

+$5.36

Record

51%

3138-3071 (6209)

cryingbabydicer87<$100
Up

Invested

$20.66

Value

$23.88

PnL

+$3.22

Record

49%

1520-1565 (3085)

AS
asdcaxz<$100
Up

Invested

$31.65

Value

$11.38

PnL

+$3.25

Record

50%

4397-4477 (8874)

AA
aaa221<$100
Up

Invested

$8.8

Value

$10

PnL

+$1.2

Record

59%

3675-2516 (6191)

AS
asidjasiodja<$100
Up

Invested

$5.94

Value

$6.07

PnL

+$0.13

Record

64%

2389-1316 (3705)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Up

Invested

$4.9

Value

$5.05

PnL

+$0.15

Record

67%

3366-1674 (5040)

PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$8.93

Value

—

PnL

-$8.93

Record

54%

2316-1981 (4297)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$5.87

Value

—

PnL

-$5.87

Record

38%

1410-2275 (3685)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Up

Invested

$1.68

Value

$2

PnL

+$0.32

Record

62%

3967-2385 (6352)

AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.05

Value

—

PnL

-$0.05

Record

37%

1347-2255 (3602)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0xbf221f60...b73986
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1794684300

Traders in this Market

BY

ByteBadger92

CTR

Down — $0

-$498.7
SO

soswald1

Up — $151.66

+$8.06
0X

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $139.98

+$2.06
13

13897651

Up — $43.21

-$2.33
0X

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $36.86

+$5.36

cryingbabydicer87

Up — $23.88

+$3.22
AS

asdcaxz

Up — $11.38

+$3.25
AA

aaa221

Up — $10

+$1.2
AS

asidjasiodja

Up — $6.07

+$0.13
AS

asdaefef

Up — $5.05

+$0.15
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