Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Solana Up or Down - November 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
Resolved Down. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
21
Down 85%
1 arb excluded
$754.52
$21.57
Smart Money Signal
18 of 21 top traders (86%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%21 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 48.9¢ | $514.51 | $490 | -$0.9 | 54% 3484-2956 (6440) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50.5¢ | $247.38 | $490 | +$249.2 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 48.9¢ | $249.62 | — | -$250.1 | |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Downavg 91.7¢ | $40.26 | $43.93 | +$3.66 | 71% 1584-646 (2230) |
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 73.7¢ | $26.7 | $30.82 | +$4.13 | 43% 1190-1559 (2749) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Downavg 75.8¢ | $22.75 | $30 | +$7.25 | 51% 3344-3190 (6534) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 78.6¢ | $35.27 | $24.27 | -$2.18 | 51% 3138-3071 (6209) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 90.2¢ | $17.33 | $19.2 | +$1.88 | 47% 2060-2289 (4349) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $15.33 | $15.64 | +$0.31 | 98% 3678-79 (3757) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 81.7¢ | $29.67 | $15 | -$1.02 | 50% 4397-4477 (8874) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 92¢ | $13.8 | $15 | +$1.2 | 48% 2113-2329 (4442) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 85¢ | $12.75 | $15 | +$2.25 | 44% 2059-2654 (4713) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 90¢ | $11.13 | $10.17 | -$0.96 | 64% 2389-1316 (3705) |
 cryingbabydicer87<$100 | Downavg 67.9¢ | $8.33 | $12.27 | +$3.93 | 49% 1520-1565 (3085) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 88¢ | $8.8 | $10 | +$1.2 | 59% 3675-2516 (6191) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 58¢ | $4.49 | $4.17 | -$0.33 | 54% 2316-1981 (4297) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 96¢ | $4.85 | $5.05 | +$0.2 | 50% 2392-2413 (4805) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $4.95 | $5 | +$0.05 | 67% 3366-1674 (5040) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 89¢ | $3.56 | $4 | +$0.44 | 62% 3967-2385 (6352) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 81¢ | $4.05 | $5 | +$0.95 | 52% 2655-2432 (5087) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 2.5¢ | $0.48 | — | -$0.48 | 33% 1029-2125 (3154) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 13.6¢ | $5.44 | — | -$5.44 | 38% 1410-2275 (3685) |
0X 0xde5d9a7dce9faf8df086c066b698375c1d2d9192<$100 | Downavg 79¢ | $25 | $0.01 | +$6.01 | 40% 12-18 (30) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 25¢ | $1.5 | — | -$1.5 | 42% 1669-2262 (3931) |
Invested
$514.51
Value
$490
PnL
-$0.9
Record
54%
3484-2956 (6440)
Both legs:
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$40.26
Value
$43.93
PnL
+$3.66
Record
71%
1584-646 (2230)
Invested
$26.7
Value
$30.82
PnL
+$4.13
Record
43%
1190-1559 (2749)
Invested
$22.75
Value
$30
PnL
+$7.25
Record
51%
3344-3190 (6534)
Invested
$35.27
Value
$24.27
PnL
-$2.18
Record
51%
3138-3071 (6209)
ohioism<$100Invested
$17.33
Value
$19.2
PnL
+$1.88
Record
47%
2060-2289 (4349)
Invested
$15.33
Value
$15.64
PnL
+$0.31
Record
98%
3678-79 (3757)
Invested
$29.67
Value
$15
PnL
-$1.02
Record
50%
4397-4477 (8874)
Invested
$13.8
Value
$15
PnL
+$1.2
Record
48%
2113-2329 (4442)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$12.75
Value
$15
PnL
+$2.25
Record
44%
2059-2654 (4713)
Invested
$11.13
Value
$10.17
PnL
-$0.96
Record
64%
2389-1316 (3705)
cryingbabydicer87<$100Invested
$8.33
Value
$12.27
PnL
+$3.93
Record
49%
1520-1565 (3085)
Invested
$8.8
Value
$10
PnL
+$1.2
Record
59%
3675-2516 (6191)
Invested
$4.49
Value
$4.17
PnL
-$0.33
Record
54%
2316-1981 (4297)
Invested
$4.85
Value
$5.05
PnL
+$0.2
Record
50%
2392-2413 (4805)
Invested
$4.95
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.05
Record
67%
3366-1674 (5040)
Invested
$3.56
Value
$4
PnL
+$0.44
Record
62%
3967-2385 (6352)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$4.05
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.95
Record
52%
2655-2432 (5087)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.48
Value
—
PnL
-$0.48
Record
33%
1029-2125 (3154)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$5.44
Value
—
PnL
-$5.44
Record
38%
1410-2275 (3685)
Invested
$25
Value
$0.01
PnL
+$6.01
Record
40%
12-18 (30)
Invested
$1.5
Value
—
PnL
-$1.5
Record
42%
1669-2262 (3931)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
BoneOhio
Down — $43.93
13897651
Down — $30.82
soswald1
Down — $30
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $24.27
ohioism
Down — $19.2
hoodquant
Down — $15.64
asdcaxz
Down — $15
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Down — $15
G-Penis-Monster
Down — $15