Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Solana Up or Down - November 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
Resolved Down. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
12
Down 83%
1 arb excluded
$976.27
-$0.2
Smart Money Signal
10 of 12 top traders (83%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 50.3¢ | $516.15 | $497.74 | +$2.86 | 54% 3484-2956 (6440) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50.3¢ | $250.57 | $497.74 | +$250.51 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 49.2¢ | $245.88 | — | -$247.65 | |
SO soswald1 | Downavg 50¢ | $150 | $150 | +$7.31 | 51% 3344-3190 (6534) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $110.88 | $112 | +$1.12 | 98% 3678-79 (3757) |
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 73.6¢ | $42.32 | $45 | +$2.68 | 43% 1190-1559 (2749) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 86¢ | $40.5 | $40 | +$0.5 | 50% 4397-4477 (8874) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 67¢ | $39.41 | $58.84 | +$19.42 | 54% 2316-1981 (4297) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 79.1¢ | $27.96 | $22.88 | -$5.08 | 51% 3138-3071 (6209) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 76¢ | $19 | $25 | +$6 | 44% 2059-2654 (4713) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 68.7¢ | $6.79 | $7.94 | +$1.15 | 38% 1410-2275 (3685) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 70.7¢ | $6.93 | $9.81 | +$2.88 | 59% 3675-2516 (6191) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 87¢ | $6.15 | $7.07 | +$0.92 | 62% 3967-2385 (6352) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 37¢ | $1.85 | — | -$1.85 | 52% 2655-2432 (5087) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 29.6¢ | $35.25 | — | -$35.25 | 50% 2249-2257 (4506) |
Invested
$516.15
Value
$497.74
PnL
+$2.86
Record
54%
3484-2956 (6440)
Both legs:
Invested
$150
Value
$150
PnL
+$7.31
Record
51%
3344-3190 (6534)
Invested
$110.88
Value
$112
PnL
+$1.12
Record
98%
3678-79 (3757)
Invested
$42.32
Value
$45
PnL
+$2.68
Record
43%
1190-1559 (2749)
Invested
$40.5
Value
$40
PnL
+$0.5
Record
50%
4397-4477 (8874)
Invested
$39.41
Value
$58.84
PnL
+$19.42
Record
54%
2316-1981 (4297)
Invested
$27.96
Value
$22.88
PnL
-$5.08
Record
51%
3138-3071 (6209)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$19
Value
$25
PnL
+$6
Record
44%
2059-2654 (4713)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$6.79
Value
$7.94
PnL
+$1.15
Record
38%
1410-2275 (3685)
Invested
$6.93
Value
$9.81
PnL
+$2.88
Record
59%
3675-2516 (6191)
Invested
$6.15
Value
$7.07
PnL
+$0.92
Record
62%
3967-2385 (6352)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$1.85
Value
—
PnL
-$1.85
Record
52%
2655-2432 (5087)
Invested
$35.25
Value
—
PnL
-$35.25
Record
50%
2249-2257 (4506)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
soswald1
Down — $150
hoodquant
Down — $112
13897651
Down — $45
asdcaxz
Down — $40
ply-pm2
Down — $58.84
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $22.88
G-Penis-Monster
Down — $25
OhioRiskManagement
Down — $7.94
aaa221
Down — $9.81