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PolyConsensus
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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

Resolved Up. 82% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

11

Up 80%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$722.7

Combined PnL

-$16.03

Smart Money Signal

Up

9 of 11 top traders (82%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up9 traders
Total Value$227.7
Total Shares228
Combined PnL+$11.42
Down2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares87
Combined PnL-$27.45
Up — 82%Down — 18%
BY
ByteBadger92ARB<$100
Up

Invested

$514.61

Value

$495

PnL

-$2.05

Record

54%

3484-2956 (6440)

Both legs:

Up$249.3850.4¢+$249.2
Down$247.8848.9¢-$251.25
SO
soswald1
Up

Invested

$150

Value

$150

PnL

+$1.05

Record

51%

3344-3190 (6534)

13
13897651<$100
Up

Invested

$20.19

Value

$26.07

PnL

+$5.88

Record

43%

1190-1559 (2749)

AA
aaa221<$100
Up

Invested

$13.5

Value

$15

PnL

+$1.5

Record

59%

3675-2516 (6191)

HO
hoodquant<$100
Up

Invested

$13.86

Value

$14

PnL

+$0.14

Record

98%

3678-79 (3757)

AS
asdcaxz<$100
Up

Invested

$8.39

Value

$9

PnL

+$0.61

Record

50%

4397-4477 (8874)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100
Up

Invested

$7.3

Value

$9

PnL

+$1.7

Record

51%

3138-3071 (6209)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Up

Invested

$1.64

Value

$2.08

PnL

+$0.44

Record

62%

3967-2385 (6352)

0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.5

Value

—

PnL

-$1.5

Record

42%

1669-2262 (3931)

PL
ply-pm2<$100
Up

Invested

$1.47

Value

$1.57

PnL

+$0.1

Record

54%

2316-1981 (4297)

BoneOhio<$100
Up

Invested

$0.97

Value

$0.98

PnL

+$0.01

Record

71%

1584-646 (2230)

UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$25.95

Value

—

PnL

-$25.95

Record

50%

2249-2257 (4506)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0xdfb205d8...2c7dae
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1794683100

Traders in this Market

BY

ByteBadger92

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

-$2.05
SO

soswald1

Up — $150

+$1.05
13

13897651

Up — $26.07

+$5.88
AA

aaa221

Up — $15

+$1.5
HO

hoodquant

Up — $14

+$0.14
AS

asdcaxz

Up — $9

+$0.61
0X

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $9

+$1.7
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $2.08

+$0.44
0X

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

CTR

Down — $0

-$1.5
PL

ply-pm2

Up — $1.57

+$0.1
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