Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Solana Up or Down - November 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
Resolved Down. 53% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
17
Down 50%
2 arb excluded
$2.3K
-$55.9
Smart Money Signal
9 of 17 top traders (53%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed8 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 3.4¢ | $36.68 | — | -$36.68 | 54% 2316-1981 (4297) |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $516.01 | $493.27 | +$8.94 | 54% 3484-2956 (6440) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $246.51 | $493.27 | +$252.74 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50.2¢ | $245.98 | — | -$243.8 | |
 cryingbabydicer87 | Downavg 99¢ | $796.7 | $805 | +$8.3 | 49% 1520-1565 (3085) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $711.69 | $719 | +$7.31 | 98% 3678-79 (3757) |
SO soswald1ARB<$100 | Downavg 50.5¢ | $153.35 | $145 | +$12.87 | 51% 3344-3190 (6534) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50.5¢ | $73.3 | $145 | +$70.7 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $55.5 | — | -$57.83 | |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $1.8 | — | -$1.8 | 50% 2392-2413 (4805) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 58¢ | $5.28 | $6.62 | +$1.34 | 67% 3366-1674 (5040) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $1.44 | — | -$1.44 | 64% 2389-1316 (3705) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 2.4¢ | $3.33 | — | -$3.33 | 62% 3967-2385 (6352) |
13 13897651CTR<$100 | Upavg 64.1¢ | $33.58 | — | -$33.58 | 43% 1190-1559 (2749) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 44.6¢ | $23.78 | $30 | +$6.22 | 51% 3138-3071 (6209) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Upavg 47.8¢ | $25.2 | — | -$25.2 | 50% 4397-4477 (8874) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 33¢ | $8.25 | $25 | +$16.75 | 50% 2249-2257 (4506) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 67.8¢ | $10.39 | $15.33 | +$4.94 | 48% 2113-2329 (4442) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $5 | — | -$5 | 50% 805-795 (1600) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 18¢ | $1.52 | $8.44 | +$6.92 | 38% 1410-2275 (3685) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 42¢ | $2.1 | — | -$2.1 | 44% 2059-2654 (4713) |
AL almach<$100 | Downavg 20¢ | $0.5 | $2.5 | +$2 | 51% 1399-1354 (2753) |
SU suntori<$100 | Downavg 51¢ | $4.67 | $0.01 | -$0.55 | 46% 2743-3256 (5999) |
Invested
$36.68
Value
—
PnL
-$36.68
Record
54%
2316-1981 (4297)
Invested
$516.01
Value
$493.27
PnL
+$8.94
Record
54%
3484-2956 (6440)
Both legs:
cryingbabydicer87Invested
$796.7
Value
$805
PnL
+$8.3
Record
49%
1520-1565 (3085)
Invested
$711.69
Value
$719
PnL
+$7.31
Record
98%
3678-79 (3757)
Invested
$153.35
Value
$145
PnL
+$12.87
Record
51%
3344-3190 (6534)
Both legs:
Invested
$1.8
Value
—
PnL
-$1.8
Record
50%
2392-2413 (4805)
Invested
$5.28
Value
$6.62
PnL
+$1.34
Record
67%
3366-1674 (5040)
Invested
$1.44
Value
—
PnL
-$1.44
Record
64%
2389-1316 (3705)
Invested
$3.33
Value
—
PnL
-$3.33
Record
62%
3967-2385 (6352)
Invested
$33.58
Value
—
PnL
-$33.58
Record
43%
1190-1559 (2749)
Invested
$23.78
Value
$30
PnL
+$6.22
Record
51%
3138-3071 (6209)
Invested
$25.2
Value
—
PnL
-$25.2
Record
50%
4397-4477 (8874)
Invested
$8.25
Value
$25
PnL
+$16.75
Record
50%
2249-2257 (4506)
Invested
$10.39
Value
$15.33
PnL
+$4.94
Record
48%
2113-2329 (4442)
Invested
$5
Value
—
PnL
-$5
Record
50%
805-795 (1600)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$1.52
Value
$8.44
PnL
+$6.92
Record
38%
1410-2275 (3685)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$2.1
Value
—
PnL
-$2.1
Record
44%
2059-2654 (4713)
Invested
$0.5
Value
$2.5
PnL
+$2
Record
51%
1399-1354 (2753)
Invested
$4.67
Value
$0.01
PnL
-$0.55
Record
46%
2743-3256 (5999)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
CTRUp — $0
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
cryingbabydicer87
Down — $805
hoodquant
Down — $719
soswald1
ARBArbitrage — excluded
dvasdkasodk
CTRUp — $0
asdaefef
Down — $6.62
asidjasiodja
CTRUp — $0
drfc4eybh7i8
CTRUp — $0
13897651
CTRUp — $0