Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Solana Up or Down - November 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
Resolved Down. 58% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
12
Down 58%
1 arb excluded
$739.79
-$119.26
Smart Money Signal
7 of 12 top traders (58%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $510.22 | $493.41 | +$2.43 | 54% 3449-2937 (6386) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50.2¢ | $247.55 | $493.41 | +$250.57 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $248.25 | — | -$248.15 | |
SO soswald1CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $150 | — | -$138.4 | 51% 3318-3179 (6497) |
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 68.9¢ | $65.31 | $66.81 | +$1.5 | 43% 1179-1556 (2735) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 28.5¢ | $19.62 | $58.77 | +$39.16 | 54% 2295-1973 (4268) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 98.4¢ | $51.93 | $52.75 | +$0.82 | 98% 3651-75 (3726) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 77.8¢ | $44.62 | $33.05 | -$8.94 | 51% 3103-3041 (6144) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 79¢ | $22.25 | $20 | -$2.25 | 50% 4383-4460 (8843) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 35.8¢ | $6.3 | — | -$6.3 | 38% 1393-2264 (3657) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $2 | — | -$2 | 44% 2041-2641 (4682) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 1.3¢ | $10.6 | — | -$10.6 | 47% 2135-2370 (4505) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 28¢ | $2.8 | $10 | +$7.2 | 47% 2092-2317 (4409) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Downavg 65¢ | $3.25 | $5 | +$1.75 | 71% 1579-644 (2223) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 6.2¢ | $1.2 | — | -$1.2 | 62% 3938-2372 (6310) |
Invested
$510.22
Value
$493.41
PnL
+$2.43
Record
54%
3449-2937 (6386)
Both legs:
Invested
$150
Value
—
PnL
-$138.4
Record
51%
3318-3179 (6497)
Invested
$65.31
Value
$66.81
PnL
+$1.5
Record
43%
1179-1556 (2735)
Invested
$19.62
Value
$58.77
PnL
+$39.16
Record
54%
2295-1973 (4268)
Invested
$51.93
Value
$52.75
PnL
+$0.82
Record
98%
3651-75 (3726)
Invested
$44.62
Value
$33.05
PnL
-$8.94
Record
51%
3103-3041 (6144)
Invested
$22.25
Value
$20
PnL
-$2.25
Record
50%
4383-4460 (8843)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$6.3
Value
—
PnL
-$6.3
Record
38%
1393-2264 (3657)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$2
Value
—
PnL
-$2
Record
44%
2041-2641 (4682)
Invested
$10.6
Value
—
PnL
-$10.6
Record
47%
2135-2370 (4505)
Invested
$2.8
Value
$10
PnL
+$7.2
Record
47%
2092-2317 (4409)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$3.25
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.75
Record
71%
1579-644 (2223)
Invested
$1.2
Value
—
PnL
-$1.2
Record
62%
3938-2372 (6310)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
soswald1
CTRUp — $0
13897651
Down — $66.81
ply-pm2
Down — $58.77
hoodquant
Down — $52.75
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $33.05
asdcaxz
Down — $20
OhioRiskManagement
CTRUp — $0
G-Penis-Monster
CTRUp — $0
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
CTRUp — $0