Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Solana Up or Down - November 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
Resolved Down. 54% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
13
Down 54%
1 arb excluded
$806.44
-$65.34
Smart Money Signal
7 of 13 top traders (54%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 50.5¢ | $519.84 | $495.81 | -$3.31 | 54% 3449-2937 (6386) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50.5¢ | $250.38 | $495.81 | +$243.58 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 49.6¢ | $246.41 | — | -$246.89 | |
SO soswald1 | Downavg 50¢ | $150 | $150 | +$7.95 | 51% 3318-3179 (6497) |
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 54.7¢ | $46.47 | $48.69 | +$2.22 | 43% 1179-1556 (2735) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 46.5¢ | $37.8 | $41.25 | +$3.45 | 50% 4383-4460 (8843) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 49.3¢ | $23.35 | $47.35 | +$24 | 50% 1880-1856 (3736) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 69.4¢ | $22.61 | — | -$22.61 | 38% 1393-2264 (3657) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 67.6¢ | $36.38 | — | -$36.38 | 54% 2295-1973 (4268) |
PB PBot-5CTR<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $12.5 | — | -$12.5 | 48% 1230-1322 (2552) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 95.7¢ | $21.63 | $6 | -$0.78 | 62% 3938-2372 (6310) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $4.95 | $5 | +$0.05 | 98% 3651-75 (3726) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 36¢ | $4.44 | $12.33 | +$7.89 | 47% 2092-2317 (4409) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 11¢ | $1.28 | — | -$1.28 | 50% 2368-2397 (4765) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 26.8¢ | $35.2 | — | -$35.2 | 50% 2231-2229 (4460) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Upavg 8.4¢ | $2.16 | — | -$2.16 | 51% 3103-3041 (6144) |
Invested
$519.84
Value
$495.81
PnL
-$3.31
Record
54%
3449-2937 (6386)
Both legs:
Invested
$150
Value
$150
PnL
+$7.95
Record
51%
3318-3179 (6497)
Invested
$46.47
Value
$48.69
PnL
+$2.22
Record
43%
1179-1556 (2735)
Invested
$37.8
Value
$41.25
PnL
+$3.45
Record
50%
4383-4460 (8843)
Invested
$23.35
Value
$47.35
PnL
+$24
Record
50%
1880-1856 (3736)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$22.61
Value
—
PnL
-$22.61
Record
38%
1393-2264 (3657)
Invested
$36.38
Value
—
PnL
-$36.38
Record
54%
2295-1973 (4268)
Invested
$12.5
Value
—
PnL
-$12.5
Record
48%
1230-1322 (2552)
Invested
$21.63
Value
$6
PnL
-$0.78
Record
62%
3938-2372 (6310)
Invested
$4.95
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.05
Record
98%
3651-75 (3726)
Invested
$4.44
Value
$12.33
PnL
+$7.89
Record
47%
2092-2317 (4409)
Invested
$1.28
Value
—
PnL
-$1.28
Record
50%
2368-2397 (4765)
Invested
$35.2
Value
—
PnL
-$35.2
Record
50%
2231-2229 (4460)
Invested
$2.16
Value
—
PnL
-$2.16
Record
51%
3103-3041 (6144)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
soswald1
Down — $150
13897651
Down — $48.69
asdcaxz
Down — $41.25
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $47.35
OhioRiskManagement
CTRUp — $0
ply-pm2
CTRUp — $0
PBot-5
CTRUp — $0
drfc4eybh7i8
Down — $6
hoodquant
Down — $5