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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

Resolved Down. 31% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

13

Up 33%

Total Value

$97.02

Combined PnL

-$500.51

Smart Money Signal

Up

4 of 13 top traders (31%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares544
Combined PnL-$500.23
Down9 traders
Total Value$97.02
Total Shares97
Combined PnL-$0.28
Up — 31%Down — 69%
BY
ByteBadger92CTR
Up

Invested

$500

Value

—

PnL

-$498.04

Record

54%

3449-2937 (6386)

0X
0x50f7<$100
Down

Invested

$39.16

Value

$39.2

PnL

+$0.04

Record

52%

1374-1272 (2646)

13
13897651<$100
Down

Invested

$17.97

Value

$15

PnL

-$2.97

Record

43%

1179-1556 (2735)

AS
asdcaxz<$100
Down

Invested

$15.75

Value

$10

PnL

-$0.95

Record

50%

4383-4460 (8843)

SO
soswald1<$100
Down

Invested

$6.28

Value

$9.07

PnL

+$2.79

Record

51%

3318-3179 (6497)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100
Down

Invested

$9.28

Value

$9

PnL

-$0.28

Record

51%

3103-3041 (6144)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Down

Invested

$6.86

Value

$7.15

PnL

+$0.29

Record

67%

3341-1667 (5008)

AS
asidjasiodja<$100
Down

Invested

$4.85

Value

$5.05

PnL

+$0.2

Record

64%

2369-1311 (3680)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Down

Invested

$1.52

Value

$2.03

PnL

+$0.51

Record

62%

3938-2372 (6310)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$1.35

Value

—

PnL

-$1.35

Record

38%

1393-2264 (3657)

pspspsps5CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$0.49

Value

—

PnL

-$0.49

Record

33%

1018-2114 (3132)

PL
ply-pm2<$100
Down

Invested

$0.43

Value

$0.53

PnL

+$0.1

Record

54%

2295-1973 (4268)

0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$0.35

Value

—

PnL

-$0.35

Record

42%

1643-2244 (3887)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0xc2b5d4e1...dd69a3
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1794680100

Traders in this Market

BY

ByteBadger92

CTR

Up — $0

-$498.04
0X

0x50f7

Down — $39.2

+$0.04
13

13897651

Down — $15

-$2.97
AS

asdcaxz

Down — $10

-$0.95
SO

soswald1

Down — $9.07

+$2.79
0X

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $9

-$0.28
AS

asdaefef

Down — $7.15

+$0.29
AS

asidjasiodja

Down — $5.05

+$0.2
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $2.03

+$0.51

OhioRiskManagement

CTR

Up — $0

-$1.35
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