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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

16

Down 50%

Total Value

$341.75

Combined PnL

-$586.24

Smart Money Signal

Down

8 of 16 top traders (50%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down8 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares778
Combined PnL-$592.43
Up8 traders
Total Value$341.75
Total Shares342
Combined PnL+$6.19
Down — 50%Up — 50%
BY
ByteBadger92CTR
Down

Invested

$525.84

Value

—

PnL

-$487.21

Record

54%

3449-2937 (6386)

SO
soswald1
Up

Invested

$153

Value

$124.47

PnL

-$6.29

Record

51%

3318-3179 (6497)

13
13897651<$100
Up

Invested

$61.52

Value

$65

PnL

+$3.48

Record

43%

1179-1556 (2735)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100
Up

Invested

$63.97

Value

$61.39

PnL

-$2.58

Record

51%

3103-3041 (6144)

UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$79.5

Value

—

PnL

-$71.6

Record

50%

2231-2229 (4460)

AS
asdcaxz<$100
Up

Invested

$45.7

Value

$45.8

PnL

+$5.39

Record

50%

4383-4460 (8843)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Up

Invested

$24.56

Value

$20.45

PnL

-$3.81

Record

62%

3938-2372 (6310)

OhioRiskManagement<$100
Up

Invested

$12.4

Value

$15.45

PnL

+$5.25

Record

38%

1393-2264 (3657)

AS
asdaefefCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$10.92

Value

—

PnL

-$10.92

Record

67%

3341-1667 (5008)

PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$29.4

Value

—

PnL

-$15.7

Record

54%

2295-1973 (4268)

AS
asidjasiodja<$100
Up

Invested

$3

Value

$5.98

PnL

+$2.98

Record

64%

2369-1311 (3680)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$2.58

Value

—

PnL

-$2.58

Record

44%

2041-2641 (4682)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100
Up

Invested

$1.44

Value

$3.21

PnL

+$1.77

Record

47%

2135-2370 (4505)

ohioismCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.42

Value

—

PnL

-$1.42

Record

47%

2042-2277 (4319)

DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.71

Value

—

PnL

-$1.71

Record

50%

2368-2397 (4765)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.3

Value

—

PnL

-$1.3

Record

47%

2092-2317 (4409)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x977375a1...e1a0a9
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1794679800

Traders in this Market

BY

ByteBadger92

CTR

Down — $0

-$487.21
SO

soswald1

Up — $124.47

-$6.29
13

13897651

Up — $65

+$3.48
0X

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $61.39

-$2.58
UN

uninformedfloww

CTR

Down — $0

-$71.6
AS

asdcaxz

Up — $45.8

+$5.39
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $20.45

-$3.81

OhioRiskManagement

Up — $15.45

+$5.25
AS

asdaefef

CTR

Down — $0

-$10.92
PL

ply-pm2

CTR

Down — $0

-$15.7
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