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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Resolved Down. 46% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

13

Up 46%

Total Value

$367.15

Combined PnL

-$547.42

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 13 top traders (46%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares659
Combined PnL-$585.65
Down7 traders
Total Value$367.15
Total Shares367
Combined PnL+$38.23
Up — 46%Down — 54%
BY
ByteBadger92CTR
Up

Invested

$516.4

Value

—

PnL

-$507

Record

54%

3449-2937 (6386)

SO
soswald1
Down

Invested

$150

Value

$150

PnL

+$1.73

Record

51%

3318-3179 (6497)

HO
hoodquant<$100
Down

Invested

$72.52

Value

$74

PnL

+$1.48

Record

98%

3651-75 (3726)

13
13897651<$100
Down

Invested

$63.67

Value

$63.66

PnL

-$0.01

Record

43%

1179-1556 (2735)

OhioRiskManagement<$100
Down

Invested

$8.4

Value

$37.36

PnL

+$28.96

Record

38%

1393-2264 (3657)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Down

Invested

$17.09

Value

$18.13

PnL

+$1.28

Record

62%

3938-2372 (6310)

AS
asdcaxzCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$18.88

Value

—

PnL

-$18.88

Record

50%

4383-4460 (8843)

pspspsps5CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$2.34

Value

—

PnL

-$2.34

Record

33%

1018-2114 (3132)

PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$41.88

Value

—

PnL

-$41.88

Record

54%

2295-1973 (4268)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100
Down

Invested

$6.24

Value

$12

PnL

+$5.76

Record

51%

3103-3041 (6144)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Down

Invested

$12.96

Value

$12

PnL

-$0.96

Record

67%

3341-1667 (5008)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$9.75

Value

—

PnL

-$9.75

Record

44%

2041-2641 (4682)

UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$5.79

Value

—

PnL

-$5.79

Record

50%

2231-2229 (4460)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x1417067a...dde1b2
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1794679200

Traders in this Market

BY

ByteBadger92

CTR

Up — $0

-$507
SO

soswald1

Down — $150

+$1.73
HO

hoodquant

Down — $74

+$1.48
13

13897651

Down — $63.66

-$0.01

OhioRiskManagement

Down — $37.36

+$28.96
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $18.13

+$1.28
AS

asdcaxz

CTR

Up — $0

-$18.88

pspspsps5

CTR

Up — $0

-$2.34
PL

ply-pm2

CTR

Up — $0

-$41.88
0X

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $12

+$5.76
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