Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
Resolved Up. 82% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
11
Up 82%
1 arb excluded
$760.11
$10.92
Smart Money Signal
9 of 11 top traders (82%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 49.7Β’ | $513.71 | $491.44 | -$2.14 | 54% 3449-2937 (6386) |
| β Up leg | Upavg 50.8Β’ | $249.85 | $491.44 | +$249.01 | |
| β Down leg | Downavg 49.7Β’ | $251.15 | β | -$251.15 | |
SO soswald1 | Upavg 50.3Β’ | $151.5 | $152 | +$1 | 51% 3318-3179 (6497) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Upavg 85.3Β’ | $25.23 | $29.56 | +$4.33 | 50% 4383-4460 (8843) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 83Β’ | $22.56 | $27.18 | +$4.62 | 59% 3649-2497 (6146) |
13 13897651<$100 | Upavg 85Β’ | $24.61 | $24.29 | -$0.32 | 43% 1179-1556 (2735) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Upavg 75Β’ | $9.75 | $13 | +$3.25 | 51% 3103-3041 (6144) |
![]() OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 82Β’ | $8.5 | $10.37 | +$1.87 | 38% 1393-2264 (3657) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 81.5Β’ | $4.1 | $5.03 | +$0.93 | 62% 3938-2372 (6310) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 99Β’ | $4.95 | $5 | +$0.05 | 67% 3341-1667 (5008) |
![]() cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Downavg 14Β’ | $2.94 | β | -$2.94 | 49% 1497-1559 (3056) |
![]() pspspsps5<$100 | Upavg 98Β’ | $2.21 | $2.25 | +$0.04 | 33% 1018-2114 (3132) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 30.1Β’ | $1.91 | β | -$1.91 | 54% 2295-1973 (4268) |
Invested
$513.71
Value
$491.44
PnL
-$2.14
Record
54%
3449-2937 (6386)
Both legs:
Invested
$151.5
Value
$152
PnL
+$1
Record
51%
3318-3179 (6497)
Invested
$25.23
Value
$29.56
PnL
+$4.33
Record
50%
4383-4460 (8843)
Invested
$22.56
Value
$27.18
PnL
+$4.62
Record
59%
3649-2497 (6146)
Invested
$24.61
Value
$24.29
PnL
-$0.32
Record
43%
1179-1556 (2735)
Invested
$9.75
Value
$13
PnL
+$3.25
Record
51%
3103-3041 (6144)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$8.5
Value
$10.37
PnL
+$1.87
Record
38%
1393-2264 (3657)
Invested
$4.1
Value
$5.03
PnL
+$0.93
Record
62%
3938-2372 (6310)
Invested
$4.95
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.05
Record
67%
3341-1667 (5008)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$2.94
Value
β
PnL
-$2.94
Record
49%
1497-1559 (3056)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$2.21
Value
$2.25
PnL
+$0.04
Record
33%
1018-2114 (3132)
Invested
$1.91
Value
β
PnL
-$1.91
Record
54%
2295-1973 (4268)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage β excluded
soswald1
Up β $152
asdcaxz
Up β $29.56
aaa221
Up β $27.18
13897651
Up β $24.29
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up β $13

OhioRiskManagement
Up β $10.37
drfc4eybh7i8
Up β $5.03
asdaefef
Up β $5

cryingbabydicer87
CTRDown β $0