Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Solana Up or Down - November 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
Resolved Down. 94% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
16
Down 94%
1 arb excluded
$958.43
$15.2
Smart Money Signal
15 of 16 top traders (94%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | $499.7 | -$0.08 | 54% 3449-2937 (6386) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $250 | — | -$250 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $249.85 | $499.7 | +$249.92 | |
SO soswald1 | Downavg 50¢ | $150 | $150 | +$1.75 | 51% 3318-3179 (6497) |
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99¢ | $144.77 | $146.23 | +$1.46 | 52% 1374-1272 (2646) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 80.3¢ | $30.88 | $30 | -$0.88 | 50% 4383-4460 (8843) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Downavg 64¢ | $16 | $25 | +$9 | 71% 1579-644 (2223) |
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 80.9¢ | $30.93 | $24.43 | -$6.5 | 43% 1179-1556 (2735) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 87¢ | $17.4 | $20 | +$2.6 | 50% 2231-2229 (4460) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 70.7¢ | $13.75 | $14.11 | +$0.36 | 51% 3103-3041 (6144) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 87¢ | $8.7 | $10 | +$1.3 | 54% 2295-1973 (4268) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 64¢ | $9.75 | $15.23 | +$5.48 | 44% 2041-2641 (4682) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 97¢ | $5.82 | $6 | +$0.18 | 64% 2369-1311 (3680) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $4.9 | $5 | +$0.1 | 50% 2368-2397 (4765) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 96¢ | $4.8 | $5 | +$0.2 | 67% 3341-1667 (5008) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $3.43 | $2.14 | -$1.29 | 38% 1393-2264 (3657) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 72¢ | $1.46 | $2.03 | +$0.57 | 62% 3938-2372 (6310) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 64¢ | $2.28 | $3.56 | +$1.28 | 47% 2092-2317 (4409) |
 cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Upavg 6¢ | $0.42 | — | -$0.42 | 49% 1497-1559 (3056) |
Invested
$500
Value
$499.7
PnL
-$0.08
Record
54%
3449-2937 (6386)
Both legs:
Invested
$150
Value
$150
PnL
+$1.75
Record
51%
3318-3179 (6497)
Invested
$144.77
Value
$146.23
PnL
+$1.46
Record
52%
1374-1272 (2646)
Invested
$30.88
Value
$30
PnL
-$0.88
Record
50%
4383-4460 (8843)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$16
Value
$25
PnL
+$9
Record
71%
1579-644 (2223)
Invested
$30.93
Value
$24.43
PnL
-$6.5
Record
43%
1179-1556 (2735)
Invested
$17.4
Value
$20
PnL
+$2.6
Record
50%
2231-2229 (4460)
Invested
$13.75
Value
$14.11
PnL
+$0.36
Record
51%
3103-3041 (6144)
Invested
$8.7
Value
$10
PnL
+$1.3
Record
54%
2295-1973 (4268)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$9.75
Value
$15.23
PnL
+$5.48
Record
44%
2041-2641 (4682)
Invested
$5.82
Value
$6
PnL
+$0.18
Record
64%
2369-1311 (3680)
Invested
$4.9
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.1
Record
50%
2368-2397 (4765)
Invested
$4.8
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.2
Record
67%
3341-1667 (5008)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$3.43
Value
$2.14
PnL
-$1.29
Record
38%
1393-2264 (3657)
Invested
$1.46
Value
$2.03
PnL
+$0.57
Record
62%
3938-2372 (6310)
Invested
$2.28
Value
$3.56
PnL
+$1.28
Record
47%
2092-2317 (4409)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$0.42
Value
—
PnL
-$0.42
Record
49%
1497-1559 (3056)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
soswald1
Down — $150
0x50f7
Down — $146.23
asdcaxz
Down — $30
BoneOhio
Down — $25
13897651
Down — $24.43
uninformedfloww
Down — $20
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $14.11
ply-pm2
Down — $10
G-Penis-Monster
Down — $15.23