Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
Resolved Up. 62% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
13
Up 62%
1 arb excluded
$703.77
-$19.43
Smart Money Signal
8 of 13 top traders (62%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 49.7Β’ | $508.51 | $500 | -$1.15 | 54% 3405-2902 (6307) |
| β Up leg | Upavg 50Β’ | $250 | $500 | +$250 | |
| β Down leg | Downavg 49.7Β’ | $252.55 | β | -$251.15 | |
![]() OhioRiskManagement | Upavg 98.3Β’ | $120.46 | $121.21 | +$0.75 | 38% 1375-2241 (3616) |
13 13897651<$100 | Upavg 62.7Β’ | $27.43 | $27.77 | +$0.34 | 43% 1169-1546 (2715) |
![]() G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 90Β’ | $13.8 | $15.33 | +$1.53 | 43% 2013-2620 (4633) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 8Β’ | $7.52 | β | -$7.52 | 54% 2271-1956 (4227) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Downavg 45.1Β’ | $15.16 | β | -$13.26 | 50% 3063-3014 (6077) |
![]() cryingbabydicer87<$100 | Upavg 35.5Β’ | $4.97 | $14 | +$9.03 | 49% 1477-1548 (3025) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 98Β’ | $6.86 | $7 | +$0.14 | 50% 2339-2380 (4719) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 66Β’ | $6.17 | $9.35 | +$3.18 | 59% 3605-2478 (6083) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Downavg 25.2Β’ | $17.05 | β | -$12.2 | 50% 4364-4429 (8793) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 98.8Β’ | $4.95 | $5.01 | +$0.06 | 64% 2336-1304 (3640) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 73.1Β’ | $3 | $4.1 | +$1.1 | 62% 3900-2350 (6250) |
PB PBot-5CTR<$100 | Downavg 51Β’ | $2.55 | β | -$2.55 | 48% 1211-1300 (2511) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 3Β’ | $0.03 | β | -$0.03 | 32% 1003-2099 (3102) |
Invested
$508.51
Value
$500
PnL
-$1.15
Record
54%
3405-2902 (6307)
Both legs:
OhioRiskManagementInvested
$120.46
Value
$121.21
PnL
+$0.75
Record
38%
1375-2241 (3616)
Invested
$27.43
Value
$27.77
PnL
+$0.34
Record
43%
1169-1546 (2715)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$13.8
Value
$15.33
PnL
+$1.53
Record
43%
2013-2620 (4633)
Invested
$7.52
Value
β
PnL
-$7.52
Record
54%
2271-1956 (4227)
Invested
$15.16
Value
β
PnL
-$13.26
Record
50%
3063-3014 (6077)
cryingbabydicer87<$100Invested
$4.97
Value
$14
PnL
+$9.03
Record
49%
1477-1548 (3025)
Invested
$6.86
Value
$7
PnL
+$0.14
Record
50%
2339-2380 (4719)
Invested
$6.17
Value
$9.35
PnL
+$3.18
Record
59%
3605-2478 (6083)
Invested
$17.05
Value
β
PnL
-$12.2
Record
50%
4364-4429 (8793)
Invested
$4.95
Value
$5.01
PnL
+$0.06
Record
64%
2336-1304 (3640)
Invested
$3
Value
$4.1
PnL
+$1.1
Record
62%
3900-2350 (6250)
Invested
$2.55
Value
β
PnL
-$2.55
Record
48%
1211-1300 (2511)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.03
Value
β
PnL
-$0.03
Record
32%
1003-2099 (3102)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage β excluded

OhioRiskManagement
Up β $121.21
13897651
Up β $27.77

G-Penis-Monster
Up β $15.33
ply-pm2
CTRDown β $0
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
CTRDown β $0

cryingbabydicer87
Up β $14
dvasdkasodk
Up β $7
aaa221
Up β $9.35
asdcaxz
CTRDown β $0