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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET

Resolved Up. 92% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

12

Up 92%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$934.7

Combined PnL

$46.89

Smart Money Signal

Up

11 of 12 top traders (92%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up11 traders

Total Value$441.7

Total Shares442

Combined PnL+$57.32

Down1 trader

Total Value$0

Total Shares25

Combined PnL-$10.43

Up — 92%Down — 8%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 49.7¢	$522.99	$493	+$4.09	54% 3405-2902 (6307)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50.3¢	$247.77	$493	+$252.23
└ Down leg	Downavg 49.7¢	$249.14	—	-$248.14
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Upavg 63.4¢	$174.26	$149.25	-$14.35	50% 3063-3014 (6077)
13 13897651<$100	Upavg 59.8¢	$60.89	$65.41	+$4.52	43% 1169-1546 (2715)
UN uninformedfloww<$100	Upavg 52.1¢	$31.8	$60.98	+$29.18	50% 2222-2217 (4439)
SO soswald1<$100	Upavg 66.9¢	$27.8	$41.56	+$13.76	51% 3279-3161 (6440)
AS asdcaxz<$100	Upavg 74.3¢	$47.2	$40	-$7.13	50% 4364-4429 (8793)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Upavg 31.9¢	$19.91	$35.6	+$15.69	54% 2271-1956 (4227)
OhioRiskManagement<$100	Upavg 83¢	$14.13	$17.02	+$2.9	38% 1375-2241 (3616)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Upavg 59¢	$11.8	$20	+$8.2	47% 2103-2356 (4459)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Downavg 41.6¢	$10.43	—	-$10.43	59% 3605-2478 (6083)
MayorMamdani<$100	Upavg 54¢	$2.7	$5	+$2.3	52% 2593-2411 (5004)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 54¢	$2.08	$2	-$0.08	62% 3900-2350 (6250)
cryingbabydicer87<$100	Upavg 52¢	$2.54	$4.88	+$2.34	49% 1477-1548 (3025)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$522.99

Value

$493

PnL

+$4.09

Record

54%

3405-2902 (6307)

Both legs:

Up$247.7750.3¢+$252.23

Down$249.1449.7¢-$248.14

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$174.26

Value

$149.25

PnL

-$14.35

Record

50%

3063-3014 (6077)

Invested

$60.89

Value

$65.41

PnL

+$4.52

Record

43%

1169-1546 (2715)

uninformedfloww<$100

Invested

$31.8

Value

$60.98

PnL

+$29.18

Record

50%

2222-2217 (4439)

Invested

$27.8

Value

$41.56

PnL

+$13.76

Record

51%

3279-3161 (6440)

Invested

$47.2

Value

$40

PnL

-$7.13

Record

50%

4364-4429 (8793)

Invested

$19.91

Value

$35.6

PnL

+$15.69

Record

54%

2271-1956 (4227)

OhioRiskManagement<$100

Invested

$14.13

Value

$17.02

PnL

+$2.9

Record

38%

1375-2241 (3616)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100

Invested

$11.8

Value

$20

PnL

+$8.2

Record

47%

2103-2356 (4459)

Invested

$10.43

Value

—

PnL

-$10.43

Record

59%

3605-2478 (6083)

MayorMamdani<$100

Invested

$2.7

Value

$5

PnL

+$2.3

Record

52%

2593-2411 (5004)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$2.08

Value

$2

PnL

-$0.08

Record

62%

3900-2350 (6250)

cryingbabydicer87<$100

Invested

$2.54

Value

$4.88

PnL

+$2.34

Record

49%

1477-1548 (3025)

Smart Money Signal

Up

11 of 12 top traders (92%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x356d9b16...de5e70

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1794677100

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $149.25

13897651

Up — $65.41

uninformedfloww

Up — $60.98

soswald1

Up — $41.56

asdcaxz

Up — $40

ply-pm2

Up — $35.6

OhioRiskManagement

Up — $17.02

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Up — $20

aaa221

Down — $0

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