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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

Resolved Up. 38% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

13

Down 38%

Total Value

$190.7

Combined PnL

-$597.26

Smart Money Signal

Down

5 of 13 top traders (38%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares623

Combined PnL-$593.35

Up8 traders

Total Value$190.7

Total Shares191

Combined PnL-$3.91

Down — 38%Up — 62%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92CTR	Downavg 49.8¢	$513.99	—	-$503.6	54% 3405-2902 (6307)
OhioRiskManagement	Upavg 99¢	$115.25	$115	-$0.25	38% 1375-2241 (3616)
13 13897651CTR<$100	Downavg 64¢	$59.79	—	-$59.79	43% 1169-1546 (2715)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100	Upavg 74.5¢	$35.85	$26.25	-$9.6	50% 3063-3014 (6077)
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100	Downavg 35.2¢	$20.48	—	-$15.98	50% 4364-4429 (8793)
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100	Downavg 86.2¢	$13.77	—	-$13.77	54% 2271-1956 (4227)
SO soswald1<$100	Upavg 77.7¢	$11.8	$15.18	+$3.38	51% 3279-3161 (6440)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 98¢	$7.92	$8.08	+$0.16	64% 2336-1304 (3640)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 98¢	$7.92	$8.08	+$0.16	67% 3307-1655 (4962)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Upavg 97¢	$6.79	$7	+$0.21	50% 2339-2380 (4719)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 49.7¢	$4.32	$6	+$1.97	62% 3900-2350 (6250)
pspspsps5<$100	Upavg 99¢	$5.05	$5.1	+$0.05	32% 1003-2099 (3102)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100	Downavg 18¢	$0.22	—	-$0.22	49% 1477-1548 (3025)

ByteBadger92CTR

Invested

$513.99

Value

—

PnL

-$503.6

Record

54%

3405-2902 (6307)

OhioRiskManagement

Invested

$115.25

Value

$115

PnL

-$0.25

Record

38%

1375-2241 (3616)

13897651CTR<$100

Invested

$59.79

Value

—

PnL

-$59.79

Record

43%

1169-1546 (2715)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100

Invested

$35.85

Value

$26.25

PnL

-$9.6

Record

50%

3063-3014 (6077)

asdcaxzCTR<$100

Invested

$20.48

Value

—

PnL

-$15.98

Record

50%

4364-4429 (8793)

ply-pm2CTR<$100

Invested

$13.77

Value

—

PnL

-$13.77

Record

54%

2271-1956 (4227)

Invested

$11.8

Value

$15.18

PnL

+$3.38

Record

51%

3279-3161 (6440)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$7.92

Value

$8.08

PnL

+$0.16

Record

64%

2336-1304 (3640)

Invested

$7.92

Value

$8.08

PnL

+$0.16

Record

67%

3307-1655 (4962)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$6.79

Value

$7

PnL

+$0.21

Record

50%

2339-2380 (4719)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$4.32

Value

$6

PnL

+$1.97

Record

62%

3900-2350 (6250)

Invested

$5.05

Value

$5.1

PnL

+$0.05

Record

32%

1003-2099 (3102)

cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100

Invested

$0.22

Value

—

PnL

-$0.22

Record

49%

1477-1548 (3025)

Smart Money Signal

Down

5 of 13 top traders (38%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xcef1e0aa...88f1a8

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1794676800

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Down — $0

OhioRiskManagement

Up — $115

13897651

Down — $0

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $26.25

asdcaxz

Down — $0

ply-pm2

Down — $0

soswald1

Up — $15.18

asidjasiodja

Up — $8.08

asdaefef

Up — $8.08

dvasdkasodk

Up — $7

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