Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

Resolved Down. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 83%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$940.6

Combined PnL

$56.54

Smart Money Signal

Down

15 of 18 top traders (83%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down15 traders

Total Value$382.69

Total Shares383

Combined PnL+$92.21

Up3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares82

Combined PnL-$35.67

Down — 83%Up — 17%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Upavg 49.9¢	$523.38	$491.41	+$0.66	54% 3373-2881 (6254)
└ Down leg	Downavg 49.9¢	$245.38	$491.41	+$248.16
└ Up leg	Upavg 49.9¢	$247	—	-$247.5
0X 0x50f7	Downavg 99¢	$143.52	$144.97	+$1.45	52% 1352-1265 (2617)
13 13897651ARB<$100	Downavg 56.7¢	$64.86	$66.5	+$1.64	43% 1163-1539 (2702)
└ Down leg	Downavg 56.7¢	$37.7	$66.5	+$28.8
└ Up leg	Upavg 40.8¢	$27.16	—	-$27.16
UN uninformedfloww<$100	Downavg 49.4¢	$24.9	$50.4	+$25.5	50% 2196-2203 (4399)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Downavg 52.7¢	$30.36	$53.68	+$23.33	54% 2251-1949 (4200)
AS asdcaxz<$100	Downavg 38.1¢	$15.7	$26.25	+$10.55	50% 4343-4417 (8760)
SO soswald1<$100	Downavg 58.8¢	$23.55	$30.38	+$6.83	51% 3258-3136 (6394)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Downavg 99¢	$8.91	$9	+$0.09	49% 2315-2365 (4680)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Downavg 44¢	$6.6	$15	+$8.4	47% 2043-2283 (4326)
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100	Upavg 47.3¢	$42.75	—	-$30.82	51% 4952-4670 (9622)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100	Downavg 69.2¢	$4.15	$6	+$1.85	42% 1609-2196 (3805)
HO hoodquant<$100	Downavg 98¢	$5.88	$6	+$0.12	98% 3543-73 (3616)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Upavg 47.5¢	$4.8	—	-$4.8	38% 1364-2226 (3590)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 96¢	$6.86	$7.15	+$0.29	63% 3881-2327 (6208)
ohioism<$100	Downavg 43.5¢	$4.35	$10	+$5.65	47% 1998-2233 (4231)
cryingbabydicer87<$100	Downavg 52.8¢	$4.37	$8.28	+$3.91	49% 1453-1538 (2991)
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 65¢	$7.39	$5.29	+$0.35	59% 3587-2446 (6033)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Downavg 67¢	$3.55	$5.3	+$1.75	64% 2317-1294 (3611)
MayorMamdani<$100	Downavg 57¢	$2.85	$5	+$2.15	52% 2568-2395 (4963)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Upavg 1¢	$0.05	—	-$0.05	37% 1317-2199 (3516)