Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Solana Up or Down - November 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
Resolved Up. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
7
Up 57%
1 arb excluded
$564.8
-$60.98
Smart Money Signal
4 of 7 top traders (57%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $506.15 | $500 | -$2.89 | 54% 3373-2881 (6254) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $250 | $500 | +$250 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $253.65 | — | -$252.89 | |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 36.2¢ | $19.67 | $31.59 | +$11.92 | 54% 2251-1949 (4200) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Downavg 55.8¢ | $35.55 | — | -$35.55 | 51% 4952-4670 (9622) |
SO soswald1CTR<$100 | Downavg 70.4¢ | $38.05 | — | -$33.65 | 51% 3258-3136 (6394) |
13 13897651CTR<$100 | Downavg 56¢ | $17.33 | — | -$17.33 | 43% 1163-1539 (2702) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 56.8¢ | $11.42 | $12.88 | +$1.46 | 63% 3881-2327 (6208) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 37.3¢ | $3.85 | $10.33 | +$6.48 | 38% 1364-2226 (3590) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Upavg 43¢ | $4.3 | $10 | +$5.7 | 50% 4343-4417 (8760) |
Invested
$506.15
Value
$500
PnL
-$2.89
Record
54%
3373-2881 (6254)
Both legs:
Invested
$19.67
Value
$31.59
PnL
+$11.92
Record
54%
2251-1949 (4200)
Invested
$35.55
Value
—
PnL
-$35.55
Record
51%
4952-4670 (9622)
Invested
$38.05
Value
—
PnL
-$33.65
Record
51%
3258-3136 (6394)
Invested
$17.33
Value
—
PnL
-$17.33
Record
43%
1163-1539 (2702)
Invested
$11.42
Value
$12.88
PnL
+$1.46
Record
63%
3881-2327 (6208)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$3.85
Value
$10.33
PnL
+$6.48
Record
38%
1364-2226 (3590)
Invested
$4.3
Value
$10
PnL
+$5.7
Record
50%
4343-4417 (8760)