Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
Resolved Up. 89% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
9
Up 89%
2 arb excluded
$761.65
$13.6
Smart Money Signal
8 of 9 top traders (89%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 50.3Β’ | $517.5 | $490.09 | +$5.14 | 54% 3373-2881 (6254) |
| β Up leg | Upavg 50.3Β’ | $246.67 | $490.09 | +$252.09 | |
| β Down leg | Downavg 50.1Β’ | $245.69 | β | -$246.95 | |
SO soswald1ARB<$100 | Upavg 50Β’ | $150 | $150 | +$4.29 | 51% 3258-3136 (6394) |
| β Up leg | Upavg 50Β’ | $75 | $150 | +$75 | |
| β Down leg | Downavg 50Β’ | $58.25 | β | -$70.71 | |
13 13897651<$100 | Upavg 82.9Β’ | $43.5 | $42 | -$1.5 | 43% 1163-1539 (2702) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Upavg 76.8Β’ | $31.51 | $28.43 | +$1.27 | 50% 4343-4417 (8760) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Upavg 52.7Β’ | $14.1 | $25.81 | +$11.71 | 51% 4952-4670 (9622) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 81.8Β’ | $6.58 | $8.04 | +$1.46 | 54% 2251-1949 (4200) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 90.3Β’ | $4.65 | $5.15 | +$0.5 | 59% 3587-2446 (6033) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Upavg 53Β’ | $2.65 | $5 | +$2.35 | 50% 3041-2991 (6032) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 87.6Β’ | $4.38 | $5 | +$0.62 | 63% 3881-2327 (6208) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 99Β’ | $2.1 | $2.12 | +$0.02 | 98% 3543-73 (3616) |
![]() OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 14.8Β’ | $2.84 | β | -$2.84 | 38% 1364-2226 (3590) |
Invested
$517.5
Value
$490.09
PnL
+$5.14
Record
54%
3373-2881 (6254)
Both legs:
Invested
$150
Value
$150
PnL
+$4.29
Record
51%
3258-3136 (6394)
Both legs:
Invested
$43.5
Value
$42
PnL
-$1.5
Record
43%
1163-1539 (2702)
Invested
$31.51
Value
$28.43
PnL
+$1.27
Record
50%
4343-4417 (8760)
Invested
$14.1
Value
$25.81
PnL
+$11.71
Record
51%
4952-4670 (9622)
Invested
$6.58
Value
$8.04
PnL
+$1.46
Record
54%
2251-1949 (4200)
Invested
$4.65
Value
$5.15
PnL
+$0.5
Record
59%
3587-2446 (6033)
Invested
$2.65
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.35
Record
50%
3041-2991 (6032)
Invested
$4.38
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.62
Record
63%
3881-2327 (6208)
Invested
$2.1
Value
$2.12
PnL
+$0.02
Record
98%
3543-73 (3616)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$2.84
Value
β
PnL
-$2.84
Record
38%
1364-2226 (3590)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage β excluded
soswald1
ARBArbitrage β excluded
13897651
Up β $42
asdcaxz
Up β $28.43
blue.birds
Up β $25.81
ply-pm2
Up β $8.04
aaa221
Up β $5.15
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up β $5
drfc4eybh7i8
Up β $5
hoodquant
Up β $2.12