Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
Resolved Up. 47% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
17
Down 50%
$289.66
-$524.85
Smart Money Signal
8 of 17 top traders (47%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Downavg 50¢ | $506.67 | — | -$492.91 | 54% 3373-2881 (6254) |
 OhioRiskManagement | Upavg 98.8¢ | $134.14 | $133.99 | -$0.1 | 38% 1364-2226 (3590) |
13 13897651<$100 | Upavg 81.3¢ | $42.01 | $42.21 | +$0.2 | 43% 1163-1539 (2702) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 53¢ | $21.21 | $37 | +$15.79 | 54% 2251-1949 (4200) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Upavg 75.8¢ | $22.85 | $30.13 | +$7.28 | 51% 3258-3136 (6394) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Upavg 67¢ | $12.78 | $19.07 | +$6.29 | 50% 3041-2991 (6032) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Upavg 90.3¢ | $28.57 | $14.99 | -$4.11 | 50% 4343-4417 (8760) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 85¢ | $6.64 | $7.81 | +$1.17 | 47% 2083-2336 (4419) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 91.8¢ | $3.74 | $4.07 | +$0.33 | 63% 3881-2327 (6208) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 6¢ | $0.96 | — | -$0.96 | 32% 994-2093 (3087) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Downavg 3¢ | $0.15 | — | -$0.15 | 51% 4952-4670 (9622) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 25¢ | $1.25 | — | -$1.25 | 43% 1993-2596 (4589) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 24¢ | $1.2 | — | -$1.2 | 47% 2043-2283 (4326) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 87¢ | $0.33 | $0.38 | +$0.05 | 52% 2568-2395 (4963) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 11¢ | $0.24 | — | -$0.24 | 59% 3587-2446 (6033) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 37% 1317-2199 (3516) |
0X 0xde5d9a7dce9faf8df086c066b698375c1d2d9192CTR<$100 | Downavg 46.2¢ | $55 | — | -$55 | 39% 11-17 (28) |
Invested
$506.67
Value
—
PnL
-$492.91
Record
54%
3373-2881 (6254)
OhioRiskManagementInvested
$134.14
Value
$133.99
PnL
-$0.1
Record
38%
1364-2226 (3590)
Invested
$42.01
Value
$42.21
PnL
+$0.2
Record
43%
1163-1539 (2702)
Invested
$21.21
Value
$37
PnL
+$15.79
Record
54%
2251-1949 (4200)
Invested
$22.85
Value
$30.13
PnL
+$7.28
Record
51%
3258-3136 (6394)
Invested
$12.78
Value
$19.07
PnL
+$6.29
Record
50%
3041-2991 (6032)
Invested
$28.57
Value
$14.99
PnL
-$4.11
Record
50%
4343-4417 (8760)
Invested
$6.64
Value
$7.81
PnL
+$1.17
Record
47%
2083-2336 (4419)
Invested
$3.74
Value
$4.07
PnL
+$0.33
Record
63%
3881-2327 (6208)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.96
Value
—
PnL
-$0.96
Record
32%
994-2093 (3087)
Invested
$0.15
Value
—
PnL
-$0.15
Record
51%
4952-4670 (9622)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$1.25
Value
—
PnL
-$1.25
Record
43%
1993-2596 (4589)
Invested
$1.2
Value
—
PnL
-$1.2
Record
47%
2043-2283 (4326)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$0.33
Value
$0.38
PnL
+$0.05
Record
52%
2568-2395 (4963)
Invested
$0.24
Value
—
PnL
-$0.24
Record
59%
3587-2446 (6033)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
37%
1317-2199 (3516)
Invested
$55
Value
—
PnL
-$55
Record
39%
11-17 (28)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
CTRDown — $0
OhioRiskManagement
Up — $133.99
13897651
Up — $42.21
ply-pm2
Up — $37
soswald1
Up — $30.13
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $19.07
asdcaxz
Up — $14.99
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Up — $7.81
drfc4eybh7i8
Up — $4.07
pspspsps5
CTRDown — $0