Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Solana Up or Down - November 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
12
Down 67%
1 arb excluded
$756.86
$14.87
Smart Money Signal
8 of 12 top traders (67%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 50.3¢ | $507.09 | $500 | +$0.64 | 54% 3302-2813 (6115) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50.3¢ | $251.37 | $500 | +$250.3 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 49.6¢ | $248.21 | — | -$249.66 | |
SO soswald1 | Downavg 50¢ | $150 | $150 | +$5.63 | 51% 3198-3088 (6286) |
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 75.2¢ | $41.21 | $44.2 | +$2.99 | 43% 1145-1523 (2668) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Downavg 47¢ | $17.95 | $15.97 | +$4 | 52% 4918-4624 (9542) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 75¢ | $19.35 | $15 | +$0.3 | 50% 4298-4377 (8675) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Downavg 76.7¢ | $9.2 | $12 | +$2.8 | 42% 1545-2147 (3692) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 89.4¢ | $4.47 | $5 | +$0.53 | 63% 3817-2281 (6098) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 97¢ | $4.85 | $5 | +$0.15 | 49% 2260-2317 (4577) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 39¢ | $3.78 | $9.69 | +$5.91 | 54% 2215-1915 (4130) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $3.06 | — | -$3.06 | 50% 747-748 (1495) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 12.3¢ | $1.85 | — | -$1.85 | 38% 1343-2192 (3535) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 3.3¢ | $0.67 | — | -$0.67 | 32% 980-2061 (3041) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Upavg 16.1¢ | $1.86 | — | -$1.86 | 46% 2616-3104 (5720) |
Invested
$507.09
Value
$500
PnL
+$0.64
Record
54%
3302-2813 (6115)
Both legs:
Invested
$150
Value
$150
PnL
+$5.63
Record
51%
3198-3088 (6286)
Invested
$41.21
Value
$44.2
PnL
+$2.99
Record
43%
1145-1523 (2668)
Invested
$17.95
Value
$15.97
PnL
+$4
Record
52%
4918-4624 (9542)
Invested
$19.35
Value
$15
PnL
+$0.3
Record
50%
4298-4377 (8675)
Invested
$9.2
Value
$12
PnL
+$2.8
Record
42%
1545-2147 (3692)
Invested
$4.47
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.53
Record
63%
3817-2281 (6098)
Invested
$4.85
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.15
Record
49%
2260-2317 (4577)
Invested
$3.78
Value
$9.69
PnL
+$5.91
Record
54%
2215-1915 (4130)
Invested
$3.06
Value
—
PnL
-$3.06
Record
50%
747-748 (1495)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$1.85
Value
—
PnL
-$1.85
Record
38%
1343-2192 (3535)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.67
Value
—
PnL
-$0.67
Record
32%
980-2061 (3041)
Invested
$1.86
Value
—
PnL
-$1.86
Record
46%
2616-3104 (5720)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
soswald1
Down — $150
13897651
Down — $44.2
blue.birds
Down — $15.97
asdcaxz
Down — $15
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
Down — $12
drfc4eybh7i8
Down — $5
dvasdkasodk
Down — $5
ply-pm2
Down — $9.69
PBot-6
CTRUp — $0