Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
Resolved Down. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
20
Up 37%
$658.61
-$475.96
Smart Money Signal
8 of 20 top traders (40%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 48.8¢ | $505.49 | — | -$490.6 | 54% 3302-2813 (6115) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710 | Downavg 97.8¢ | $186.58 | $175.8 | +$3.42 | 42% 1545-2147 (3692) |
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 83.3¢ | $97.39 | $98.28 | +$0.89 | 43% 1145-1523 (2668) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 68¢ | $66.7 | $78.97 | +$12.27 | 50% 2139-2136 (4275) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 83.1¢ | $72.07 | $65 | +$2.28 | 50% 4298-4377 (8675) |
 cryingbabydicer87<$100 | Downavg 75.6¢ | $41.64 | $55.08 | +$13.44 | 48% 1402-1515 (2917) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Downavg 85.3¢ | $38.4 | $45 | +$6.6 | 51% 3198-3088 (6286) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 94¢ | $41.36 | $44 | +$2.64 | 98% 3454-73 (3527) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 80.1¢ | $40.2 | $44.2 | +$4 | 50% 3000-2949 (5949) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 64.7¢ | $18.04 | $16.03 | -$2.02 | 54% 2215-1915 (4130) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 79.6¢ | $14.28 | $16.25 | +$3.57 | 38% 1343-2192 (3535) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Downavg 77¢ | $27.3 | $15 | -$4.05 | 52% 4918-4624 (9542) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 32¢ | $12.89 | — | -$12.89 | 60% 3539-2389 (5928) |
PB PBot-5CTR<$100 | Upavg 40¢ | $3.32 | — | -$3.32 | 48% 1159-1269 (2428) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 80¢ | $4 | $5 | +$1 | 47% 1989-2244 (4233) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $1.33 | — | -$1.33 | 32% 980-2061 (3041) |
 BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Upavg 17.3¢ | $3.45 | — | -$3.45 | 71% 1515-611 (2126) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 35¢ | $5.25 | — | -$5.25 | 47% 1969-2182 (4151) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Upavg 22.4¢ | $2.8 | — | -$2.8 | 46% 2616-3104 (5720) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 24¢ | $1.04 | — | -$0.36 | 63% 3817-2281 (6098) |
Invested
$505.49
Value
—
PnL
-$490.6
Record
54%
3302-2813 (6115)
Invested
$186.58
Value
$175.8
PnL
+$3.42
Record
42%
1545-2147 (3692)
Invested
$97.39
Value
$98.28
PnL
+$0.89
Record
43%
1145-1523 (2668)
Invested
$66.7
Value
$78.97
PnL
+$12.27
Record
50%
2139-2136 (4275)
Invested
$72.07
Value
$65
PnL
+$2.28
Record
50%
4298-4377 (8675)
cryingbabydicer87<$100Invested
$41.64
Value
$55.08
PnL
+$13.44
Record
48%
1402-1515 (2917)
Invested
$38.4
Value
$45
PnL
+$6.6
Record
51%
3198-3088 (6286)
Invested
$41.36
Value
$44
PnL
+$2.64
Record
98%
3454-73 (3527)
Invested
$40.2
Value
$44.2
PnL
+$4
Record
50%
3000-2949 (5949)
Invested
$18.04
Value
$16.03
PnL
-$2.02
Record
54%
2215-1915 (4130)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$14.28
Value
$16.25
PnL
+$3.57
Record
38%
1343-2192 (3535)
Invested
$27.3
Value
$15
PnL
-$4.05
Record
52%
4918-4624 (9542)
Invested
$12.89
Value
—
PnL
-$12.89
Record
60%
3539-2389 (5928)
Invested
$3.32
Value
—
PnL
-$3.32
Record
48%
1159-1269 (2428)
Invested
$4
Value
$5
PnL
+$1
Record
47%
1989-2244 (4233)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$1.33
Value
—
PnL
-$1.33
Record
32%
980-2061 (3041)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$3.45
Value
—
PnL
-$3.45
Record
71%
1515-611 (2126)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$5.25
Value
—
PnL
-$5.25
Record
47%
1969-2182 (4151)
Invested
$2.8
Value
—
PnL
-$2.8
Record
46%
2616-3104 (5720)
Invested
$1.04
Value
—
PnL
-$0.36
Record
63%
3817-2281 (6098)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
CTRUp — $0
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
Down — $175.8
13897651
Down — $98.28
uninformedfloww
Down — $78.97
asdcaxz
Down — $65
cryingbabydicer87
Down — $55.08
soswald1
Down — $45
hoodquant
Down — $44
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $44.2
ply-pm2
Down — $16.03