Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Solana Up or Down - November 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
18
Down 50%
1 arb excluded
$813.43
-$205.67
Smart Money Signal
9 of 18 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed9 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 49.7¢ | $514.83 | $496.18 | +$12.82 | 54% 3302-2813 (6115) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 35.2¢ | $140.97 | $141.73 | +$0.76 | 54% 2215-1915 (4130) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 35.2¢ | $86.48 | — | -$86.48 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 38.4¢ | $54.49 | $141.73 | +$87.24 | |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Upavg 36.4¢ | $95.83 | — | -$86.67 | 52% 4918-4624 (9542) |
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 59.8¢ | $50.59 | $54.9 | +$4.32 | 43% 1145-1523 (2668) |
SO soswald1CTR<$100 | Upavg 62.9¢ | $71.75 | — | -$68.8 | 51% 3198-3088 (6286) |
 cryingbabydicer87<$100 | Downavg 96.3¢ | $46.87 | $30 | -$15.97 | 48% 1402-1515 (2917) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $54.45 | $55 | +$0.55 | 98% 3454-73 (3527) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 40.1¢ | $16.52 | — | -$13 | 63% 3817-2281 (6098) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Upavg 57.3¢ | $39.4 | — | -$35 | 50% 4298-4377 (8675) |
PB PBot-5CTR<$100 | Upavg 44¢ | $11 | — | -$11 | 48% 1159-1269 (2428) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 34.2¢ | $4.18 | $12.23 | +$8.05 | 49% 2260-2317 (4577) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 33¢ | $1.8 | $5.45 | +$3.65 | 64% 2269-1266 (3535) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $5 | — | -$5 | 50% 747-748 (1495) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $5 | — | -$5 | 50% 1823-1791 (3614) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 40¢ | $6 | — | -$6 | 47% 1989-2244 (4233) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 53¢ | $2.82 | $5.32 | +$2.5 | 60% 3539-2389 (5928) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 26¢ | $1.98 | $7.62 | +$5.64 | 67% 3226-1609 (4835) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 14¢ | $0.7 | $5 | +$4.3 | 47% 2034-2298 (4332) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 21¢ | $1.05 | — | -$1.05 | 47% 1969-2182 (4151) |
Invested
$514.83
Value
$496.18
PnL
+$12.82
Record
54%
3302-2813 (6115)
Invested
$140.97
Value
$141.73
PnL
+$0.76
Record
54%
2215-1915 (4130)
Both legs:
Invested
$95.83
Value
—
PnL
-$86.67
Record
52%
4918-4624 (9542)
Invested
$50.59
Value
$54.9
PnL
+$4.32
Record
43%
1145-1523 (2668)
Invested
$71.75
Value
—
PnL
-$68.8
Record
51%
3198-3088 (6286)
cryingbabydicer87<$100Invested
$46.87
Value
$30
PnL
-$15.97
Record
48%
1402-1515 (2917)
Invested
$54.45
Value
$55
PnL
+$0.55
Record
98%
3454-73 (3527)
Invested
$16.52
Value
—
PnL
-$13
Record
63%
3817-2281 (6098)
Invested
$39.4
Value
—
PnL
-$35
Record
50%
4298-4377 (8675)
Invested
$11
Value
—
PnL
-$11
Record
48%
1159-1269 (2428)
Invested
$4.18
Value
$12.23
PnL
+$8.05
Record
49%
2260-2317 (4577)
Invested
$1.8
Value
$5.45
PnL
+$3.65
Record
64%
2269-1266 (3535)
Invested
$5
Value
—
PnL
-$5
Record
50%
747-748 (1495)
Invested
$5
Value
—
PnL
-$5
Record
50%
1823-1791 (3614)
Invested
$6
Value
—
PnL
-$6
Record
47%
1989-2244 (4233)
Invested
$2.82
Value
$5.32
PnL
+$2.5
Record
60%
3539-2389 (5928)
Invested
$1.98
Value
$7.62
PnL
+$5.64
Record
67%
3226-1609 (4835)
Invested
$0.7
Value
$5
PnL
+$4.3
Record
47%
2034-2298 (4332)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$1.05
Value
—
PnL
-$1.05
Record
47%
1969-2182 (4151)