Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
Resolved Up. 62% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
21
Up 62%
2 arb excluded
$1.2K
-$113.04
Smart Money Signal
13 of 21 top traders (62%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed8 hold an outcome priced under 50%19 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 50.4Β’ | $522.95 | $485 | +$6.37 | 54% 3302-2813 (6115) |
| β Up leg | Upavg 50.4Β’ | $244.59 | $485 | +$246.45 | |
| β Down leg | Downavg 48.8Β’ | $241.3 | β | -$240.08 | |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99Β’ | $250.47 | $253 | +$2.53 | 98% 3454-73 (3527) |
PL ply-pm2CTR | Downavg 32.9Β’ | $171.61 | β | -$171.61 | 54% 2215-1915 (4130) |
SO soswald1ARB<$100 | Upavg 50Β’ | $150 | $111.6 | +$5.1 | 51% 3198-3088 (6286) |
| β Up leg | Upavg 50Β’ | $55.8 | $111.6 | +$54.45 | |
| β Down leg | Downavg 50Β’ | $40 | β | -$49.35 | |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Upavg 50Β’ | $87.75 | $84.82 | +$8.2 | 52% 4918-4624 (9542) |
![]() cryingbabydicer87<$100 | Upavg 90.4Β’ | $59.31 | $65.59 | +$6.28 | 48% 1402-1515 (2917) |
13 13897651<$100 | Upavg 67.3Β’ | $50.42 | $52.99 | +$2.58 | 43% 1145-1523 (2668) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Upavg 62.3Β’ | $30.4 | $31.16 | +$4.66 | 50% 4298-4377 (8675) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 36.2Β’ | $7.96 | $18.54 | +$14.93 | 49% 2260-2317 (4577) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 21Β’ | $6.3 | $30 | +$23.7 | 47% 2034-2298 (4332) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Upavg 80Β’ | $12.15 | $15.19 | +$3.04 | 50% 2139-2136 (4275) |
![]() ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 45Β’ | $7.15 | β | -$7.15 | 47% 1969-2182 (4151) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Upavg 77.5Β’ | $9.3 | $12 | +$2.7 | 42% 1545-2147 (3692) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 78Β’ | $11.94 | $8 | -$1.31 | 63% 3817-2281 (6098) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 99Β’ | $7.92 | $8 | +$0.08 | 67% 3226-1609 (4835) |
PB PBot-5CTR<$100 | Downavg 31Β’ | $4.65 | β | -$4.65 | 48% 1159-1269 (2428) |
![]() OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 23.4Β’ | $3.83 | β | -$3.83 | 38% 1343-2192 (3535) |
![]() G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 16Β’ | $4.8 | β | -$4.8 | 44% 1957-2530 (4487) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 16.8Β’ | $2.52 | $15 | +$12.48 | 47% 1989-2244 (4233) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 16Β’ | $1.08 | $6.75 | +$5.67 | 64% 2269-1266 (3535) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Downavg 1Β’ | $1.86 | β | -$1.86 | 46% 2616-3104 (5720) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 8Β’ | $0.08 | β | -$0.08 | 32% 980-2061 (3041) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 35Β’ | $4.6 | β | -$4.6 | 38% 1298-2160 (3458) |
Invested
$522.95
Value
$485
PnL
+$6.37
Record
54%
3302-2813 (6115)
Both legs:
Invested
$250.47
Value
$253
PnL
+$2.53
Record
98%
3454-73 (3527)
Invested
$171.61
Value
β
PnL
-$171.61
Record
54%
2215-1915 (4130)
Invested
$150
Value
$111.6
PnL
+$5.1
Record
51%
3198-3088 (6286)
Both legs:
Invested
$87.75
Value
$84.82
PnL
+$8.2
Record
52%
4918-4624 (9542)
cryingbabydicer87<$100Invested
$59.31
Value
$65.59
PnL
+$6.28
Record
48%
1402-1515 (2917)
Invested
$50.42
Value
$52.99
PnL
+$2.58
Record
43%
1145-1523 (2668)
Invested
$30.4
Value
$31.16
PnL
+$4.66
Record
50%
4298-4377 (8675)
Invested
$7.96
Value
$18.54
PnL
+$14.93
Record
49%
2260-2317 (4577)
Invested
$6.3
Value
$30
PnL
+$23.7
Record
47%
2034-2298 (4332)
Invested
$12.15
Value
$15.19
PnL
+$3.04
Record
50%
2139-2136 (4275)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$7.15
Value
β
PnL
-$7.15
Record
47%
1969-2182 (4151)
Invested
$9.3
Value
$12
PnL
+$2.7
Record
42%
1545-2147 (3692)
Invested
$11.94
Value
$8
PnL
-$1.31
Record
63%
3817-2281 (6098)
Invested
$7.92
Value
$8
PnL
+$0.08
Record
67%
3226-1609 (4835)
Invested
$4.65
Value
β
PnL
-$4.65
Record
48%
1159-1269 (2428)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$3.83
Value
β
PnL
-$3.83
Record
38%
1343-2192 (3535)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$4.8
Value
β
PnL
-$4.8
Record
44%
1957-2530 (4487)
Invested
$2.52
Value
$15
PnL
+$12.48
Record
47%
1989-2244 (4233)
Invested
$1.08
Value
$6.75
PnL
+$5.67
Record
64%
2269-1266 (3535)
Invested
$1.86
Value
β
PnL
-$1.86
Record
46%
2616-3104 (5720)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.08
Value
β
PnL
-$0.08
Record
32%
980-2061 (3041)
Invested
$4.6
Value
β
PnL
-$4.6
Record
38%
1298-2160 (3458)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage β excluded
hoodquant
Up β $253
ply-pm2
CTRDown β $0
soswald1
ARBArbitrage β excluded
blue.birds
Up β $84.82

cryingbabydicer87
Up β $65.59
13897651
Up β $52.99
asdcaxz
Up β $31.16
dvasdkasodk
Up β $18.54
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Up β $30