Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Back to Markets

Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET

Resolved Down. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

14

Up 43%

Total Value

$131.29

Combined PnL

-$635.48

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 14 top traders (43%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,051

Combined PnL-$648.15

Down8 traders

Total Value$131.29

Total Shares131

Combined PnL+$12.67

Up — 43%Down — 57%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92CTR	Upavg 50¢	$505.82	—	-$488.5	54% 3302-2813 (6115)
SO soswald1CTR	Upavg 50¢	$150	—	-$150	51% 3198-3088 (6286)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Downavg 68¢	$36.31	$40	+$13.5	54% 2215-1915 (4130)
13 13897651<$100	Downavg 89.8¢	$36.61	$33.68	-$2.93	43% 1145-1523 (2668)
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 97.3¢	$20.62	$21.19	+$0.57	60% 3539-2389 (5928)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100	Downavg 96¢	$13.44	$14	+$0.56	42% 1545-2147 (3692)
AS asdcaxz<$100	Downavg 74¢	$9.7	$10.4	+$0.7	50% 4298-4377 (8675)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Downavg 97¢	$4.85	$5	+$0.15	64% 2269-1266 (3535)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 99¢	$4.95	$5	+$0.05	67% 3226-1609 (4835)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Upavg 2.5¢	$4.59	—	-$4.59	44% 1957-2530 (4487)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 97¢	$1.96	$2.02	+$0.06	63% 3817-2281 (6098)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Upavg 1.9¢	$0.82	—	-$0.82	32% 980-2061 (3041)
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100	Upavg 10¢	$0.5	—	-$0.5	52% 4918-4624 (9542)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Upavg 2.2¢	$3.74	—	-$3.74	38% 1343-2192 (3535)

ByteBadger92CTR

Invested

$505.82

Value

—

PnL

-$488.5

Record

54%

3302-2813 (6115)

Invested

$150

Value

—

PnL

-$150

Record

51%

3198-3088 (6286)

Invested

$36.31

Value

$40

PnL

+$13.5

Record

54%

2215-1915 (4130)

Invested

$36.61

Value

$33.68

PnL

-$2.93

Record

43%

1145-1523 (2668)

Invested

$20.62

Value

$21.19

PnL

+$0.57

Record

60%

3539-2389 (5928)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100

Invested

$13.44

Value

$14

PnL

+$0.56

Record

42%

1545-2147 (3692)

Invested

$9.7

Value

$10.4

PnL

+$0.7

Record

50%

4298-4377 (8675)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$4.85

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.15

Record

64%

2269-1266 (3535)

Invested

$4.95

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.05

Record

67%

3226-1609 (4835)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100

Invested

$4.59

Value

—

PnL

-$4.59

Record

44%

1957-2530 (4487)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$1.96

Value

$2.02

PnL

+$0.06

Record

63%

3817-2281 (6098)

pspspsps5CTR<$100

Invested

$0.82

Value

—

PnL

-$0.82

Record

32%

980-2061 (3041)

blue.birdsCTR<$100

Invested

$0.5

Value

—

PnL

-$0.5

Record

52%

4918-4624 (9542)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100

Invested

$3.74

Value

—

PnL

-$3.74

Record

38%

1343-2192 (3535)

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 14 top traders (43%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0x7f9109a2...f09f54

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1794664800

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Up — $0

soswald1

Up — $0

ply-pm2

Down — $40

13897651

Down — $33.68

aaa221

Down — $21.19

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Down — $14

asdcaxz

Down — $10.4

asidjasiodja

Down — $5

asdaefef

Down — $5

G-Penis-Monster

Up — $0

Trade on Polymarket