Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Solana Up or Down - November 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
Resolved Down. 78% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
9
Down 78%
1 arb excluded
$828.44
$17.47
Smart Money Signal
7 of 9 top traders (78%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 50.9¢ | $510.92 | $500 | +$2.3 | 54% 3302-2813 (6115) |
SO soswald1ARB<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $150 | $150 | +$6.36 | 51% 3198-3088 (6286) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $75 | $150 | +$75 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $65 | — | -$68.64 | |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 75.7¢ | $40.57 | $53.57 | +$13 | 54% 2215-1915 (4130) |
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 81.7¢ | $38.72 | $43.18 | +$4.46 | 43% 1145-1523 (2668) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 88.9¢ | $36.81 | $41.42 | +$4.61 | 38% 1343-2192 (3535) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 95¢ | $19.23 | $20.24 | +$1.01 | 32% 980-2061 (3041) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $14.98 | $15 | +$0.02 | 51% 1328-1257 (2585) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 88.9¢ | $4.47 | $5.03 | +$0.56 | 63% 3817-2281 (6098) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Upavg 5¢ | $1.25 | — | -$1.25 | 52% 4918-4624 (9542) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Upavg 20.4¢ | $21.64 | — | -$7.24 | 50% 4298-4377 (8675) |
Invested
$510.92
Value
$500
PnL
+$2.3
Record
54%
3302-2813 (6115)
Invested
$150
Value
$150
PnL
+$6.36
Record
51%
3198-3088 (6286)
Both legs:
Invested
$40.57
Value
$53.57
PnL
+$13
Record
54%
2215-1915 (4130)
Invested
$38.72
Value
$43.18
PnL
+$4.46
Record
43%
1145-1523 (2668)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$36.81
Value
$41.42
PnL
+$4.61
Record
38%
1343-2192 (3535)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$19.23
Value
$20.24
PnL
+$1.01
Record
32%
980-2061 (3041)
Invested
$14.98
Value
$15
PnL
+$0.02
Record
51%
1328-1257 (2585)
Invested
$4.47
Value
$5.03
PnL
+$0.56
Record
63%
3817-2281 (6098)
Invested
$1.25
Value
—
PnL
-$1.25
Record
52%
4918-4624 (9542)
Invested
$21.64
Value
—
PnL
-$7.24
Record
50%
4298-4377 (8675)