Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
Resolved Up. 82% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
11
Up 80%
1 arb excluded
$698.82
$4.03
Smart Money Signal
9 of 11 top traders (82%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 50.3Β’ | $503.9 | $500 | +$1 | 54% 3302-2813 (6115) |
| β Down leg | Downavg 50Β’ | $250 | β | -$250 | |
| β Up leg | Upavg 50.3Β’ | $251.39 | $500 | +$251 | |
![]() OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 99Β’ | $77.36 | $77 | -$0.36 | 38% 1343-2192 (3535) |
13 13897651<$100 | Upavg 82.4Β’ | $31.93 | $35.26 | +$3.34 | 43% 1145-1523 (2668) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Upavg 98Β’ | $29.28 | $29.88 | +$0.6 | 42% 1545-2147 (3692) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 76Β’ | $20.81 | $27.38 | +$6.57 | 54% 2215-1915 (4130) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Upavg 84Β’ | $12.58 | $12 | -$0.58 | 52% 4918-4624 (9542) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 96.1Β’ | $4.81 | $5 | +$0.19 | 63% 3817-2281 (6098) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 98Β’ | $6.86 | $7 | +$0.14 | 64% 2269-1266 (3535) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 97Β’ | $4.85 | $5 | +$0.15 | 67% 3226-1609 (4835) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Upavg 99.9Β’ | $0.3 | $0.3 | +$0 | 51% 1328-1257 (2585) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 11.6Β’ | $3.81 | β | -$3.81 | 32% 980-2061 (3041) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Downavg 22Β’ | $2.2 | β | -$2.2 | 50% 4298-4377 (8675) |
Invested
$503.9
Value
$500
PnL
+$1
Record
54%
3302-2813 (6115)
Both legs:
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$77.36
Value
$77
PnL
-$0.36
Record
38%
1343-2192 (3535)
Invested
$31.93
Value
$35.26
PnL
+$3.34
Record
43%
1145-1523 (2668)
Invested
$29.28
Value
$29.88
PnL
+$0.6
Record
42%
1545-2147 (3692)
Invested
$20.81
Value
$27.38
PnL
+$6.57
Record
54%
2215-1915 (4130)
Invested
$12.58
Value
$12
PnL
-$0.58
Record
52%
4918-4624 (9542)
Invested
$4.81
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.19
Record
63%
3817-2281 (6098)
Invested
$6.86
Value
$7
PnL
+$0.14
Record
64%
2269-1266 (3535)
Invested
$4.85
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.15
Record
67%
3226-1609 (4835)
Invested
$0.3
Value
$0.3
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
1328-1257 (2585)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$3.81
Value
β
PnL
-$3.81
Record
32%
980-2061 (3041)
Invested
$2.2
Value
β
PnL
-$2.2
Record
50%
4298-4377 (8675)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage β excluded

OhioRiskManagement
Up β $77
13897651
Up β $35.26
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
Up β $29.88
ply-pm2
Up β $27.38
blue.birds
Up β $12
drfc4eybh7i8
Up β $5
asidjasiodja
Up β $7
asdaefef
Up β $5
0x50f7
Up β $0.3