Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Solana Up or Down - November 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
Resolved Up. 70% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
10
Up 70%
1 arb excluded
$655.83
$21.5
Smart Money Signal
7 of 10 top traders (70%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 50.8¢ | $509.3 | $500 | +$1 | 54% 3302-2813 (6115) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50.8¢ | $254.22 | $500 | +$250.5 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $247.5 | — | -$249.5 | |
13 13897651<$100 | Upavg 70.9¢ | $38.97 | $44.9 | +$5.93 | 43% 1145-1523 (2668) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Upavg 75.8¢ | $22.85 | $30.14 | +$7.29 | 51% 3198-3088 (6286) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 90.7¢ | $32.76 | $36.13 | +$3.37 | 54% 2215-1915 (4130) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 89.3¢ | $23.8 | $26.65 | +$2.85 | 38% 1343-2192 (3535) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 4¢ | $0.82 | — | -$0.82 | 32% 980-2061 (3041) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Upavg 49¢ | $3.71 | $7.57 | +$3.86 | 50% 747-748 (1495) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Upavg 55¢ | $8.1 | $5.36 | +$1.76 | 50% 4298-4377 (8675) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 89.6¢ | $4.55 | $5.08 | +$0.53 | 63% 3817-2281 (6098) |
 cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Downavg 14¢ | $0.33 | — | -$0.33 | 48% 1402-1515 (2917) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Downavg 7.7¢ | $2.95 | — | -$2.95 | 52% 4918-4624 (9542) |
Invested
$509.3
Value
$500
PnL
+$1
Record
54%
3302-2813 (6115)
Both legs:
Invested
$38.97
Value
$44.9
PnL
+$5.93
Record
43%
1145-1523 (2668)
Invested
$22.85
Value
$30.14
PnL
+$7.29
Record
51%
3198-3088 (6286)
Invested
$32.76
Value
$36.13
PnL
+$3.37
Record
54%
2215-1915 (4130)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$23.8
Value
$26.65
PnL
+$2.85
Record
38%
1343-2192 (3535)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.82
Value
—
PnL
-$0.82
Record
32%
980-2061 (3041)
Invested
$3.71
Value
$7.57
PnL
+$3.86
Record
50%
747-748 (1495)
Invested
$8.1
Value
$5.36
PnL
+$1.76
Record
50%
4298-4377 (8675)
Invested
$4.55
Value
$5.08
PnL
+$0.53
Record
63%
3817-2281 (6098)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$0.33
Value
—
PnL
-$0.33
Record
48%
1402-1515 (2917)
Invested
$2.95
Value
—
PnL
-$2.95
Record
52%
4918-4624 (9542)