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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

Resolved Up. 36% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

11

Down 36%

Total Value

$91.97

Combined PnL

-$654.46

Smart Money Signal

Down

4 of 11 top traders (36%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares682
Combined PnL-$646.27
Up7 traders
Total Value$91.97
Total Shares92
Combined PnL-$8.19
Down — 36%Up — 64%
BY
ByteBadger92CTR
Down

Invested

$511.11

Value

—

PnL

-$489.2

Record

54%

3273-2778 (6051)

SO
soswald1CTR
Down

Invested

$150

Value

—

PnL

-$150

Record

51%

3170-3070 (6240)

13
13897651<$100
Up

Invested

$47.29

Value

$44.53

PnL

-$2.76

Record

43%

1133-1518 (2651)

BL
blue.birds<$100
Up

Invested

$19.64

Value

$14.22

PnL

-$5.42

Record

52%

4903-4599 (9502)

AS
asdcaxz<$100
Up

Invested

$10

Value

$10

PnL

-$0

Record

49%

4271-4363 (8634)

DV
dvasdkasodk<$100
Up

Invested

$9.9

Value

$10.1

PnL

+$0.2

Record

49%

2245-2302 (4547)

AS
asidjasiodja<$100
Up

Invested

$5.88

Value

$6

PnL

+$0.12

Record

64%

2251-1263 (3514)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Up

Invested

$4.95

Value

$5.09

PnL

+$0.14

Record

67%

3205-1601 (4806)

AA
aaa221CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$4.07

Value

—

PnL

-$4.07

Record

60%

3515-2365 (5880)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Up

Invested

$2.49

Value

$2.03

PnL

-$0.46

Record

63%

3794-2264 (6058)

ohioismCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$3

Value

—

PnL

-$3

Record

47%

1952-2164 (4116)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0xf7c9f9e3...6dff2e
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1794663000

Traders in this Market

BY

ByteBadger92

CTR

Down — $0

-$489.2
SO

soswald1

CTR

Down — $0

-$150
13

13897651

Up — $44.53

-$2.76
BL

blue.birds

Up — $14.22

-$5.42
AS

asdcaxz

Up — $10

-$0
DV

dvasdkasodk

Up — $10.1

+$0.2
AS

asidjasiodja

Up — $6

+$0.12
AS

asdaefef

Up — $5.09

+$0.14
AA

aaa221

CTR

Down — $0

-$4.07
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $2.03

-$0.46
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