Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Solana Up or Down - November 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
Resolved Down. 85% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
13
Down 85%
1 arb excluded
$886.2
-$38.46
Smart Money Signal
11 of 13 top traders (85%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 49.5¢ | $522.81 | $493.27 | +$3.27 | 54% 3273-2778 (6051) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $246.44 | $493.27 | +$252.12 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 49.5¢ | $248.12 | — | -$248.85 | |
SO soswald1 | Downavg 50.8¢ | $156.2 | $128 | -$3.53 | 51% 3170-3070 (6240) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 67.5¢ | $168.28 | $119.58 | -$39.15 | 50% 2996-2942 (5938) |
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 57.7¢ | $75.74 | $76.4 | +$0.67 | 43% 1133-1518 (2651) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 66.7¢ | $19 | $20.09 | +$2.09 | 49% 4271-4363 (8634) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 40.6¢ | $33.03 | $6.99 | +$12.22 | 54% 2198-1898 (4096) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $6.93 | $7 | +$0.07 | 98% 3425-72 (3497) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 81¢ | $4.27 | $5.27 | +$1 | 47% 1973-2229 (4202) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Upavg 29.8¢ | $21.5 | — | -$17.65 | 52% 4903-4599 (9502) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 66.3¢ | $9.65 | $6 | -$0.62 | 63% 3794-2264 (6058) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 47¢ | $4.35 | — | -$4.35 | 37% 1289-2149 (3438) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 21¢ | $2.1 | $10 | +$7.9 | 50% 2116-2116 (4232) |
 cryingbabydicer87<$100 | Downavg 78.6¢ | $5.97 | $7.6 | +$1.63 | 48% 1394-1507 (2901) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Downavg 79¢ | $4.74 | $6 | +$1.26 | 42% 1520-2127 (3647) |
Invested
$522.81
Value
$493.27
PnL
+$3.27
Record
54%
3273-2778 (6051)
Both legs:
Invested
$156.2
Value
$128
PnL
-$3.53
Record
51%
3170-3070 (6240)
Invested
$168.28
Value
$119.58
PnL
-$39.15
Record
50%
2996-2942 (5938)
Invested
$75.74
Value
$76.4
PnL
+$0.67
Record
43%
1133-1518 (2651)
Invested
$19
Value
$20.09
PnL
+$2.09
Record
49%
4271-4363 (8634)
Invested
$33.03
Value
$6.99
PnL
+$12.22
Record
54%
2198-1898 (4096)
Invested
$6.93
Value
$7
PnL
+$0.07
Record
98%
3425-72 (3497)
Invested
$4.27
Value
$5.27
PnL
+$1
Record
47%
1973-2229 (4202)
Invested
$21.5
Value
—
PnL
-$17.65
Record
52%
4903-4599 (9502)
Invested
$9.65
Value
$6
PnL
-$0.62
Record
63%
3794-2264 (6058)
Invested
$4.35
Value
—
PnL
-$4.35
Record
37%
1289-2149 (3438)
Invested
$2.1
Value
$10
PnL
+$7.9
Record
50%
2116-2116 (4232)
cryingbabydicer87<$100Invested
$5.97
Value
$7.6
PnL
+$1.63
Record
48%
1394-1507 (2901)
Invested
$4.74
Value
$6
PnL
+$1.26
Record
42%
1520-2127 (3647)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
soswald1
Down — $128
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $119.58
13897651
Down — $76.4
asdcaxz
Down — $20.09
ply-pm2
Down — $6.99
hoodquant
Down — $7
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Down — $5.27
blue.birds
CTRUp — $0
drfc4eybh7i8
Down — $6