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Consensus Lost βœ—

Smart money consensus was Up β€” but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Resolved Down. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

RESOLVED

πŸ’€

Lost

Consensus Traders

22

Up 64%

Total Value

$441.02

Combined PnL

-$868.21

Smart Money Signal

Up

14 of 22 top traders (64%)14 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up14 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,130
Combined PnL-$920.33
Down8 traders
Total Value$441.02
Total Shares441
Combined PnL+$52.12
Up β€” 64%Down β€” 36%
BY
ByteBadger92CTR
Up

Invested

$545.16

Value

β€”

PnL

-$463.39

Record

54%

3273-2778 (6051)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down

Invested

$256.29

Value

$211.51

PnL

-$37.64

Record

50%

2996-2942 (5938)

SO
soswald1CTR
Up

Invested

$153.4

Value

β€”

PnL

-$132.45

Record

51%

3170-3070 (6240)

13
13897651CTR
Up

Invested

$107.8

Value

β€”

PnL

-$107.8

Record

43%

1133-1518 (2651)

HO
hoodquant<$100
Down

Invested

$78.05

Value

$79

PnL

+$0.95

Record

98%

3425-72 (3497)

BoneOhio<$100
Down

Invested

$32

Value

$66.39

PnL

+$34.39

Record

71%

1495-608 (2103)

AS
asdcaxzCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$68.13

Value

β€”

PnL

-$68.13

Record

49%

4271-4363 (8634)

PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$52.4

Value

β€”

PnL

-$52.4

Record

54%

2198-1898 (4096)

BL
blue.birdsCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$44.67

Value

β€”

PnL

-$40.97

Record

52%

4903-4599 (9502)

OhioRiskManagement<$100
Down

Invested

$10.18

Value

$29.31

PnL

+$19.13

Record

38%

1328-2178 (3506)

cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$15.39

Value

β€”

PnL

-$15.39

Record

48%

1394-1507 (2901)

pspspsps5<$100
Down

Invested

$6.25

Value

$33.09

PnL

+$26.85

Record

32%

974-2040 (3014)

AS
asidjasiodja<$100
Down

Invested

$5.08

Value

$6.12

PnL

+$1.04

Record

64%

2251-1263 (3514)

DV
dvasdkasodk<$100
Down

Invested

$5.3

Value

$10.6

PnL

+$5.3

Record

49%

2245-2302 (4547)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$7.35

Value

β€”

PnL

-$7.35

Record

52%

2502-2335 (4837)

AS
asdaefefCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$5.93

Value

β€”

PnL

-$2.28

Record

67%

3205-1601 (4806)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$5.9

Value

β€”

PnL

-$4.74

Record

63%

3794-2264 (6058)

AA
aaa221<$100
Down

Invested

$2.9

Value

$5

PnL

+$2.1

Record

60%

3515-2365 (5880)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$2.8

Value

β€”

PnL

-$2.8

Record

47%

1973-2229 (4202)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$0.55

Value

β€”

PnL

-$0.55

Record

44%

1940-2509 (4449)

UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$17.75

Value

β€”

PnL

-$17.75

Record

50%

2116-2116 (4232)

0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$4.33

Value

β€”

PnL

-$4.33

Record

42%

1520-2127 (3647)