Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
Resolved Up. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
21
Down 43%
$717.72
-$524.87
Smart Money Signal
9 of 21 top traders (43%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Downavg 49.7¢ | $518.32 | — | -$480.06 | 54% 3273-2778 (6051) |
 cryingbabydicer87 | Upavg 96.2¢ | $158.65 | $151.6 | -$7.05 | 48% 1394-1507 (2901) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 66¢ | $163.13 | $141.38 | -$13.2 | 50% 2996-2942 (5938) |
SO soswald1 | Upavg 50¢ | $150 | $125 | +$1.35 | 51% 3170-3070 (6240) |
13 13897651<$100 | Upavg 74.4¢ | $90.57 | $88.3 | -$2.27 | 43% 1133-1518 (2651) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Upavg 76.7¢ | $69.13 | $68.26 | -$0.87 | 52% 4903-4599 (9502) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $61.38 | $62 | +$0.62 | 98% 3425-72 (3497) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Upavg 46.4¢ | $23.7 | $33.18 | +$9.48 | 49% 4271-4363 (8634) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $12.75 | $25 | +$12.25 | 48% 1156-1258 (2414) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 98¢ | $9.86 | $7 | -$2.86 | 49% 2245-2302 (4547) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 91¢ | $4.55 | $5 | +$0.45 | 52% 2502-2335 (4837) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 28¢ | $4.2 | — | -$4.2 | 47% 2017-2278 (4295) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Upavg 42¢ | $2.52 | $6 | +$3.48 | 42% 1520-2127 (3647) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 7.6¢ | $1.6 | — | -$1.6 | 32% 974-2040 (3014) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Downavg 22¢ | $18.35 | — | -$3.35 | 63% 3794-2264 (6058) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 52¢ | $2.6 | $5 | +$2.4 | 50% 1805-1780 (3585) |
 BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Downavg 21¢ | $2.1 | — | -$2.1 | 71% 1495-608 (2103) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 20¢ | $1.32 | — | -$1.32 | 67% 3205-1601 (4806) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 22.8¢ | $35.05 | — | -$17.05 | 54% 2198-1898 (4096) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 25.9¢ | $17.87 | — | -$17.87 | 50% 2116-2116 (4232) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 20.1¢ | $1.1 | — | -$1.1 | 64% 2251-1263 (3514) |
Invested
$518.32
Value
—
PnL
-$480.06
Record
54%
3273-2778 (6051)
cryingbabydicer87Invested
$158.65
Value
$151.6
PnL
-$7.05
Record
48%
1394-1507 (2901)
Invested
$163.13
Value
$141.38
PnL
-$13.2
Record
50%
2996-2942 (5938)
Invested
$150
Value
$125
PnL
+$1.35
Record
51%
3170-3070 (6240)
Invested
$90.57
Value
$88.3
PnL
-$2.27
Record
43%
1133-1518 (2651)
Invested
$69.13
Value
$68.26
PnL
-$0.87
Record
52%
4903-4599 (9502)
Invested
$61.38
Value
$62
PnL
+$0.62
Record
98%
3425-72 (3497)
Invested
$23.7
Value
$33.18
PnL
+$9.48
Record
49%
4271-4363 (8634)
Invested
$12.75
Value
$25
PnL
+$12.25
Record
48%
1156-1258 (2414)
Invested
$9.86
Value
$7
PnL
-$2.86
Record
49%
2245-2302 (4547)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$4.55
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.45
Record
52%
2502-2335 (4837)
Invested
$4.2
Value
—
PnL
-$4.2
Record
47%
2017-2278 (4295)
Invested
$2.52
Value
$6
PnL
+$3.48
Record
42%
1520-2127 (3647)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$1.6
Value
—
PnL
-$1.6
Record
32%
974-2040 (3014)
Invested
$18.35
Value
—
PnL
-$3.35
Record
63%
3794-2264 (6058)
Invested
$2.6
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.4
Record
50%
1805-1780 (3585)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$2.1
Value
—
PnL
-$2.1
Record
71%
1495-608 (2103)
Invested
$1.32
Value
—
PnL
-$1.32
Record
67%
3205-1601 (4806)
Invested
$35.05
Value
—
PnL
-$17.05
Record
54%
2198-1898 (4096)
Invested
$17.87
Value
—
PnL
-$17.87
Record
50%
2116-2116 (4232)
Invested
$1.1
Value
—
PnL
-$1.1
Record
64%
2251-1263 (3514)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
CTRDown — $0
cryingbabydicer87
Up — $151.6
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $141.38
soswald1
Up — $125
13897651
Up — $88.3
blue.birds
Up — $68.26
hoodquant
Up — $62
asdcaxz
Up — $33.18
PBot-5
Up — $25
dvasdkasodk
Up — $7