Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Solana Up or Down - November 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
Resolved Down. 55% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
20
Down 55%
1 arb excluded
$853.71
-$134.87
Smart Money Signal
11 of 20 top traders (55%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed9 hold an outcome priced under 50%19 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 50.4¢ | $512.21 | $500 | -$6.04 | 54% 3248-2750 (5998) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50.4¢ | $256.56 | — | -$254.94 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 49.4¢ | $247.2 | $500 | +$248.9 | |
SO soswald1 | Downavg 50¢ | $150 | $135 | +$9.85 | 51% 3148-3049 (6197) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 49.5¢ | $82.37 | — | -$82.37 | 54% 2187-1881 (4068) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Upavg 85.1¢ | $68 | — | -$68 | 49% 4251-4347 (8598) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Upavg 47.1¢ | $55.81 | — | -$55.81 | 52% 4886-4583 (9469) |
13 13897651CTR<$100 | Upavg 47.6¢ | $30.16 | — | -$30.16 | 43% 1127-1510 (2637) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 4.1¢ | $3.72 | $52.42 | +$48.7 | 44% 1926-2494 (4420) |
 cryingbabydicer87<$100 | Downavg 77.6¢ | $27.28 | $35.17 | +$7.89 | 48% 1389-1500 (2889) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $30.64 | $30.95 | +$0.31 | 71% 1474-604 (2078) |
HO hoodquantCTR<$100 | Upavg 97¢ | $26.19 | — | -$26.19 | 98% 3400-72 (3472) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 17.4¢ | $4.2 | $24.11 | +$19.91 | 38% 1317-2163 (3480) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 69.2¢ | $7.8 | — | -$7.8 | 60% 3496-2347 (5843) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 7¢ | $0.7 | — | -$0.7 | 47% 2004-2262 (4266) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 82.5¢ | $5.72 | — | -$5.72 | 63% 3794-2264 (6058) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 11¢ | $4.42 | $40.32 | +$35.9 | 32% 965-2025 (2990) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $1 | $2 | +$1 | 50% 1794-1769 (3563) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 26¢ | $2.6 | $10 | +$7.4 | 47% 1960-2212 (4172) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 25¢ | $2.5 | $10 | +$7.5 | 48% 1943-2144 (4087) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 21¢ | $1.35 | $6.43 | +$5.08 | 64% 2251-1263 (3514) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 22¢ | $1.61 | $7.32 | +$5.71 | 49% 2245-2302 (4547) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 56.5¢ | $7.35 | — | -$7.35 | 50% 2099-2099 (4198) |
Invested
$512.21
Value
$500
PnL
-$6.04
Record
54%
3248-2750 (5998)
Both legs:
Invested
$150
Value
$135
PnL
+$9.85
Record
51%
3148-3049 (6197)
Invested
$82.37
Value
—
PnL
-$82.37
Record
54%
2187-1881 (4068)
Invested
$68
Value
—
PnL
-$68
Record
49%
4251-4347 (8598)
Invested
$55.81
Value
—
PnL
-$55.81
Record
52%
4886-4583 (9469)
Invested
$30.16
Value
—
PnL
-$30.16
Record
43%
1127-1510 (2637)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$3.72
Value
$52.42
PnL
+$48.7
Record
44%
1926-2494 (4420)
cryingbabydicer87<$100Invested
$27.28
Value
$35.17
PnL
+$7.89
Record
48%
1389-1500 (2889)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$30.64
Value
$30.95
PnL
+$0.31
Record
71%
1474-604 (2078)
Invested
$26.19
Value
—
PnL
-$26.19
Record
98%
3400-72 (3472)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$4.2
Value
$24.11
PnL
+$19.91
Record
38%
1317-2163 (3480)
Invested
$7.8
Value
—
PnL
-$7.8
Record
60%
3496-2347 (5843)
Invested
$0.7
Value
—
PnL
-$0.7
Record
47%
2004-2262 (4266)
Invested
$5.72
Value
—
PnL
-$5.72
Record
63%
3794-2264 (6058)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$4.42
Value
$40.32
PnL
+$35.9
Record
32%
965-2025 (2990)
Invested
$1
Value
$2
PnL
+$1
Record
50%
1794-1769 (3563)
Invested
$2.6
Value
$10
PnL
+$7.4
Record
47%
1960-2212 (4172)
ohioism<$100Invested
$2.5
Value
$10
PnL
+$7.5
Record
48%
1943-2144 (4087)
Invested
$1.35
Value
$6.43
PnL
+$5.08
Record
64%
2251-1263 (3514)
Invested
$1.61
Value
$7.32
PnL
+$5.71
Record
49%
2245-2302 (4547)
Invested
$7.35
Value
—
PnL
-$7.35
Record
50%
2099-2099 (4198)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
soswald1
Down — $135
ply-pm2
CTRUp — $0
asdcaxz
CTRUp — $0
blue.birds
CTRUp — $0
13897651
CTRUp — $0
G-Penis-Monster
Down — $52.42
cryingbabydicer87
Down — $35.17
BoneOhio
Down — $30.95
hoodquant
CTRUp — $0