Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
Resolved Up. 44% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
9
Down 44%
$162.57
-$496.12
Smart Money Signal
4 of 9 top traders (44%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Downavg 49.5¢ | $502.39 | — | -$497.11 | 54% 3248-2750 (5998) |
 OhioRiskManagement | Upavg 98.9¢ | $99.95 | $101.06 | +$1.11 | 38% 1317-2163 (3480) |
13 13897651<$100 | Upavg 65.6¢ | $27.57 | $29.63 | +$2.05 | 43% 1127-1510 (2637) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Upavg 68.9¢ | $13.85 | $20.11 | +$6.26 | 51% 3148-3049 (6197) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 65¢ | $7.3 | $5.71 | -$1.58 | 54% 2187-1881 (4068) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 64.3¢ | $5.2 | $6.07 | +$0.87 | 63% 3794-2264 (6058) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Downavg 38¢ | $3.8 | — | -$3.8 | 49% 4251-4347 (8598) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 57.5¢ | $2.71 | — | -$2.71 | 60% 3496-2347 (5843) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Downavg 24¢ | $1.2 | — | -$1.2 | 52% 4886-4583 (9469) |
Invested
$502.39
Value
—
PnL
-$497.11
Record
54%
3248-2750 (5998)
OhioRiskManagementInvested
$99.95
Value
$101.06
PnL
+$1.11
Record
38%
1317-2163 (3480)
Invested
$27.57
Value
$29.63
PnL
+$2.05
Record
43%
1127-1510 (2637)
Invested
$13.85
Value
$20.11
PnL
+$6.26
Record
51%
3148-3049 (6197)
Invested
$7.3
Value
$5.71
PnL
-$1.58
Record
54%
2187-1881 (4068)
Invested
$5.2
Value
$6.07
PnL
+$0.87
Record
63%
3794-2264 (6058)
Invested
$3.8
Value
—
PnL
-$3.8
Record
49%
4251-4347 (8598)
Invested
$2.71
Value
—
PnL
-$2.71
Record
60%
3496-2347 (5843)
Invested
$1.2
Value
—
PnL
-$1.2
Record
52%
4886-4583 (9469)