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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET

Resolved Up. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

9

Up 56%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$854.73

Combined PnL

-$8.91

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 9 top traders (56%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up5 traders

Total Value$303.24

Total Shares303

Combined PnL+$28.19

Down4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares202

Combined PnL-$37.1

Up — 56%Down — 44%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 50¢	$530.1	$486.48	-$3.48	54% 3248-2750 (5998)
└ Up leg	Upavg 49.8¢	$242.24	$486.48	+$247.7
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$255.51	—	-$251.18
SO soswald1	Upavg 49.9¢	$152.35	$150	+$20.1	51% 3148-3049 (6197)
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100	Downavg 61.1¢	$83.51	$65.01	-$18.5	54% 2187-1881 (4068)
└ Up leg	Upavg 48.4¢	$31.47	$65.01	+$33.54
└ Down leg	Downavg 61.1¢	$52.04	—	-$52.04
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100	Upavg 88.2¢	$64.4	$73	+$8.6	50% 1794-1769 (3563)
13 13897651<$100	Upavg 77.4¢	$70.18	$59.24	-$10.94	43% 1127-1510 (2637)
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100	Downavg 36.1¢	$37.87	—	-$32.05	49% 4251-4347 (8598)
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100	Downavg 20¢	$52.34	—	-$0.26	52% 4886-4583 (9469)
OhioRiskManagement<$100	Upavg 23.7¢	$3.32	$14	+$10.68	38% 1317-2163 (3480)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 47¢	$7.49	$7	-$0.25	63% 3794-2264 (6058)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Downavg 58¢	$2.9	—	-$2.9	37% 1281-2136 (3417)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Downavg 9¢	$1.89	—	-$1.89	47% 2004-2262 (4266)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$530.1

Value

$486.48

PnL

-$3.48

Record

54%

3248-2750 (5998)

Both legs:

Up$242.2449.8¢+$247.7

Down$255.5150¢-$251.18

Invested

$152.35

Value

$150

PnL

+$20.1

Record

51%

3148-3049 (6197)

ply-pm2ARB<$100

Invested

$83.51

Value

$65.01

PnL

-$18.5

Record

54%

2187-1881 (4068)

Both legs:

Up$31.4748.4¢+$33.54

Down$52.0461.1¢-$52.04

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100

Invested

$64.4

Value

$73

PnL

+$8.6

Record

50%

1794-1769 (3563)

Invested

$70.18

Value

$59.24

PnL

-$10.94

Record

43%

1127-1510 (2637)

asdcaxzCTR<$100

Invested

$37.87

Value

—

PnL

-$32.05

Record

49%

4251-4347 (8598)

blue.birdsCTR<$100

Invested

$52.34

Value

—

PnL

-$0.26

Record

52%

4886-4583 (9469)

OhioRiskManagement<$100

Invested

$3.32

Value

$14

PnL

+$10.68

Record

38%

1317-2163 (3480)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$7.49

Value

$7

PnL

-$0.25

Record

63%

3794-2264 (6058)

antsaslykuCTR<$100

Invested

$2.9

Value

—

PnL

-$2.9

Record

37%

1281-2136 (3417)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100

Invested

$1.89

Value

—

PnL

-$1.89

Record

47%

2004-2262 (4266)

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 9 top traders (56%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xe3e7a9a8...ba5482

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1794658800

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

soswald1

Up — $150

ply-pm2

Arbitrage — excluded

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $73

13897651

Up — $59.24

asdcaxz

Down — $0

blue.birds

Down — $0

OhioRiskManagement

Up — $14

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $7

antsaslyku

Down — $0

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