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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET

Resolved Down. 36% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

14

Up 36%

Total Value

$239.29

Combined PnL

-$508.53

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 14 top traders (36%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares618
Combined PnL-$518.45
Down9 traders
Total Value$239.29
Total Shares239
Combined PnL+$9.92
Up — 36%Down — 64%
BY
ByteBadger92CTR
Up

Invested

$500

Value

—

PnL

-$500

Record

54%

3248-2750 (5998)

SO
soswald1
Down

Invested

$150

Value

$150

PnL

+$2.25

Record

51%

3148-3049 (6197)

AS
asdcaxz<$100
Down

Invested

$20.95

Value

$25

PnL

+$4.05

Record

49%

4251-4347 (8598)

UN
uninformedfloww<$100
Down

Invested

$17.1

Value

$18

PnL

+$0.9

Record

50%

2099-2099 (4198)

0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$15.5

Value

—

PnL

-$15.5

Record

50%

1794-1769 (3563)

13
13897651<$100
Down

Invested

$16.86

Value

$15

PnL

-$1.86

Record

43%

1127-1510 (2637)

AA
aaa221<$100
Down

Invested

$9.42

Value

$10.42

PnL

+$1

Record

60%

3496-2347 (5843)

PL
ply-pm2<$100
Down

Invested

$7.08

Value

$9.66

PnL

+$2.58

Record

54%

2187-1881 (4068)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Down

Invested

$4.17

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.83

Record

63%

3794-2264 (6058)

AS
asidjasiodja<$100
Down

Invested

$4.9

Value

$5.05

PnL

+$0.15

Record

64%

2251-1263 (3514)

HO
hoodquant<$100
Down

Invested

$1.15

Value

$1.16

PnL

+$0.01

Record

98%

3400-72 (3472)

pspspsps5CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$1.7

Value

—

PnL

-$1.7

Record

32%

965-2025 (2990)

BL
blue.birdsCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$0.6

Value

—

PnL

-$0.6

Record

52%

4886-4583 (9469)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$0.65

Value

—

PnL

-$0.65

Record

38%

1317-2163 (3480)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x800bd703...a9e39a
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1794658200

Traders in this Market

BY

ByteBadger92

CTR

Up — $0

-$500
SO

soswald1

Down — $150

+$2.25
AS

asdcaxz

Down — $25

+$4.05
UN

uninformedfloww

Down — $18

+$0.9
0X

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

CTR

Up — $0

-$15.5
13

13897651

Down — $15

-$1.86
AA

aaa221

Down — $10.42

+$1
PL

ply-pm2

Down — $9.66

+$2.58
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $5

+$0.83
AS

asidjasiodja

Down — $5.05

+$0.15
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