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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET

Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

10

Up 60%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$753.28

Combined PnL

$12.67

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 10 top traders (60%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up6 traders

Total Value$196.15

Total Shares196

Combined PnL+$23.81

Down4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares64

Combined PnL-$11.13

Up — 60%Down — 40%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Upavg 50.3¢	$512.23	$490.18	+$6.48	54% 3248-2750 (5998)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50.3¢	$246.65	$490.18	+$251.3
└ Down leg	Downavg 49¢	$237.88	—	-$244.82
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100	Upavg 78.8¢	$98.09	$66.95	-$31.15	54% 2187-1881 (4068)
└ Down leg	Downavg 25.2¢	$45.36	—	-$45.36
└ Up leg	Upavg 78.8¢	$52.74	$66.95	+$14.21
AS asdcaxz<$100	Upavg 71.4¢	$57.19	$70.33	+$20.48	49% 4251-4347 (8598)
13 13897651<$100	Upavg 87¢	$50.77	$50.91	+$0.14	43% 1127-1510 (2637)
SO soswald1<$100	Upavg 72.4¢	$29.25	$40.42	+$11.17	51% 3148-3049 (6197)
BL blue.birds<$100	Upavg 85¢	$25.02	$16.33	-$8.41	52% 4886-4583 (9469)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 91¢	$16.88	$16.24	-$0.58	63% 3794-2264 (6058)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Downavg 11¢	$2.86	—	-$2.86	38% 1317-2163 (3480)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Downavg 25.7¢	$3.85	—	-$3.85	47% 2004-2262 (4266)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Downavg 25¢	$2.5	—	-$2.5	47% 1960-2212 (4172)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Downavg 15¢	$1.92	—	-$1.92	32% 965-2025 (2990)
PB PBot-6<$100	Upavg 48¢	$0.92	$1.92	+$1	50% 734-736 (1470)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$512.23

Value

$490.18

PnL

+$6.48

Record

54%

3248-2750 (5998)

Both legs:

Up$246.6550.3¢+$251.3

Down$237.8849¢-$244.82

ply-pm2ARB<$100

Invested

$98.09

Value

$66.95

PnL

-$31.15

Record

54%

2187-1881 (4068)

Both legs:

Down$45.3625.2¢-$45.36

Up$52.7478.8¢+$14.21

Invested

$57.19

Value

$70.33

PnL

+$20.48

Record

49%

4251-4347 (8598)

Invested

$50.77

Value

$50.91

PnL

+$0.14

Record

43%

1127-1510 (2637)

Invested

$29.25

Value

$40.42

PnL

+$11.17

Record

51%

3148-3049 (6197)

blue.birds<$100

Invested

$25.02

Value

$16.33

PnL

-$8.41

Record

52%

4886-4583 (9469)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$16.88

Value

$16.24

PnL

-$0.58

Record

63%

3794-2264 (6058)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100

Invested

$2.86

Value

—

PnL

-$2.86

Record

38%

1317-2163 (3480)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100

Invested

$3.85

Value

—

PnL

-$3.85

Record

47%

2004-2262 (4266)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100

Invested

$2.5

Value

—

PnL

-$2.5

Record

47%

1960-2212 (4172)

pspspsps5CTR<$100

Invested

$1.92

Value

—

PnL

-$1.92

Record

32%

965-2025 (2990)

Invested

$0.92

Value

$1.92

PnL

+$1

Record

50%

734-736 (1470)

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 10 top traders (60%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xa174efad...aeb7af

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1794657600

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

ply-pm2

Arbitrage — excluded

asdcaxz

Up — $70.33

13897651

Up — $50.91

soswald1

Up — $40.42

blue.birds

Up — $16.33

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $16.24

OhioRiskManagement

Down — $0

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Down — $0

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Down — $0

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