Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Solana Up or Down - November 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
Resolved Down. 90% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
10
Down 90%
1 arb excluded
$775.58
$43.93
Smart Money Signal
9 of 10 top traders (90%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 50.3¢ | $506.1 | $505 | +$1.4 | 54% 3248-2750 (5998) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50.3¢ | $253.95 | $505 | +$251.05 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 49.9¢ | $247.16 | — | -$249.65 | |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 74.5¢ | $72.19 | $96.88 | +$24.69 | 54% 2187-1881 (4068) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 91.5¢ | $32.68 | $35.7 | +$3.02 | 38% 1317-2163 (3480) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 75.5¢ | $37.75 | $50 | +$12.25 | 50% 2099-2099 (4198) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 78¢ | $18.73 | $20 | +$1.27 | 49% 4251-4347 (8598) |
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 80¢ | $19.79 | $20 | +$0.21 | 43% 1127-1510 (2637) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 89.5¢ | $17.9 | $20 | +$2.1 | 32% 965-2025 (2990) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Downavg 86¢ | $13.96 | $16 | +$2.04 | 52% 4886-4583 (9469) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 95¢ | $9.5 | $10 | +$0.5 | 60% 3496-2347 (5843) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Upavg 47¢ | $2.22 | — | -$2.22 | 50% 734-736 (1470) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 97¢ | $1.94 | $2 | +$0.06 | 63% 3794-2264 (6058) |
Invested
$506.1
Value
$505
PnL
+$1.4
Record
54%
3248-2750 (5998)
Both legs:
Invested
$72.19
Value
$96.88
PnL
+$24.69
Record
54%
2187-1881 (4068)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$32.68
Value
$35.7
PnL
+$3.02
Record
38%
1317-2163 (3480)
Invested
$37.75
Value
$50
PnL
+$12.25
Record
50%
2099-2099 (4198)
Invested
$18.73
Value
$20
PnL
+$1.27
Record
49%
4251-4347 (8598)
Invested
$19.79
Value
$20
PnL
+$0.21
Record
43%
1127-1510 (2637)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$17.9
Value
$20
PnL
+$2.1
Record
32%
965-2025 (2990)
Invested
$13.96
Value
$16
PnL
+$2.04
Record
52%
4886-4583 (9469)
Invested
$9.5
Value
$10
PnL
+$0.5
Record
60%
3496-2347 (5843)
Invested
$2.22
Value
—
PnL
-$2.22
Record
50%
734-736 (1470)
Invested
$1.94
Value
$2
PnL
+$0.06
Record
63%
3794-2264 (6058)