Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
Back to Markets

Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

Resolved Up. 8% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

12

Down 8%

Total Value

$287.14

Combined PnL

-$474.42

Smart Money Signal

Down

1 of 12 top traders (8%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares500
Combined PnL-$493.82
Up11 traders
Total Value$287.14
Total Shares287
Combined PnL+$19.4
Down — 8%Up — 92%
BY
ByteBadger92CTR
Down

Invested

$506.55

Value

—

PnL

-$493.82

Record

54%

3248-2750 (5998)

pspspsps5
Up

Invested

$101.68

Value

$104.47

PnL

+$2.79

Record

32%

965-2025 (2990)

OhioRiskManagement<$100
Up

Invested

$66.58

Value

$70

PnL

+$3.41

Record

38%

1317-2163 (3480)

SO
soswald1<$100
Up

Invested

$23.9

Value

$30

PnL

+$6.1

Record

51%

3148-3049 (6197)

13
13897651<$100
Up

Invested

$21.11

Value

$21.07

PnL

-$0.04

Record

43%

1127-1510 (2637)

AA
aaa221<$100
Up

Invested

$13.67

Value

$16.67

PnL

+$3

Record

60%

3496-2347 (5843)

0X
0x50f7<$100
Up

Invested

$14.98

Value

$15

PnL

+$0.02

Record

51%

1306-1242 (2548)

AS
asdcaxz<$100
Up

Invested

$8.4

Value

$10

PnL

+$1.6

Record

49%

4251-4347 (8598)

PL
ply-pm2<$100
Up

Invested

$8.09

Value

$9.09

PnL

+$1

Record

54%

2187-1881 (4068)

0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100
Up

Invested

$5.47

Value

$6

PnL

+$0.53

Record

42%

1499-2108 (3607)

BL
blue.birds<$100
Up

Invested

$2.84

Value

$2.84

PnL

-$0

Record

52%

4886-4583 (9469)

0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100
Up

Invested

$1

Value

$2

PnL

+$1

Record

50%

1794-1769 (3563)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0xd4fae357...6c4501
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1794656400

Traders in this Market

BY

ByteBadger92

CTR

Down — $0

-$493.82

pspspsps5

Up — $104.47

+$2.79

OhioRiskManagement

Up — $70

+$3.41
SO

soswald1

Up — $30

+$6.1
13

13897651

Up — $21.07

-$0.04
AA

aaa221

Up — $16.67

+$3
0X

0x50f7

Up — $15

+$0.02
AS

asdcaxz

Up — $10

+$1.6
PL

ply-pm2

Up — $9.09

+$1
0X

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $6

+$0.53
Trade on Polymarket