Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
Resolved Down. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
9
Up 56%
$65.6
-$535.41
Smart Money Signal
5 of 9 top traders (56%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50.1¢ | $510.61 | — | -$501.85 | 54% 3222-2710 (5932) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Upavg 30.4¢ | $29.25 | — | -$24.7 | 49% 4234-4320 (8554) |
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 72.4¢ | $31.4 | $26.12 | -$5.28 | 43% 1118-1501 (2619) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Downavg 93¢ | $18.64 | $14.29 | -$3.35 | 52% 4868-4560 (9428) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 86¢ | $13.06 | $15.19 | +$2.13 | 60% 3476-2322 (5798) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 47¢ | $6.02 | — | -$6.02 | 54% 2171-1861 (4032) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Downavg 48.5¢ | $4.85 | $10 | +$5.15 | 51% 3131-3018 (6149) |
 cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Upavg 19¢ | $1.33 | — | -$1.33 | 48% 1378-1482 (2860) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 6¢ | $0.16 | — | -$0.16 | 32% 958-2010 (2968) |
Invested
$510.61
Value
—
PnL
-$501.85
Record
54%
3222-2710 (5932)
Invested
$29.25
Value
—
PnL
-$24.7
Record
49%
4234-4320 (8554)
Invested
$31.4
Value
$26.12
PnL
-$5.28
Record
43%
1118-1501 (2619)
Invested
$18.64
Value
$14.29
PnL
-$3.35
Record
52%
4868-4560 (9428)
Invested
$13.06
Value
$15.19
PnL
+$2.13
Record
60%
3476-2322 (5798)
Invested
$6.02
Value
—
PnL
-$6.02
Record
54%
2171-1861 (4032)
Invested
$4.85
Value
$10
PnL
+$5.15
Record
51%
3131-3018 (6149)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$1.33
Value
—
PnL
-$1.33
Record
48%
1378-1482 (2860)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.16
Value
—
PnL
-$0.16
Record
32%
958-2010 (2968)