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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET

Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

10

Down 60%

Total Value

$44.63

Combined PnL

-$666.29

Smart Money Signal

Down

6 of 10 top traders (60%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares747
Combined PnL-$663.14
Up4 traders
Total Value$44.63
Total Shares45
Combined PnL-$3.15
Down — 60%Up — 40%
BY
ByteBadger92CTR
Down

Invested

$504.5

Value

—

PnL

-$488.9

Record

54%

3222-2710 (5932)

SO
soswald1CTR
Down

Invested

$150

Value

—

PnL

-$148.54

Record

51%

3131-3018 (6149)

OhioRiskManagement<$100
Up

Invested

$16.66

Value

$17

PnL

+$0.34

Record

38%

1307-2140 (3447)

AS
asdcaxzCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$12.8

Value

—

PnL

-$12.8

Record

49%

4234-4320 (8554)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100
Up

Invested

$14.91

Value

$11.25

PnL

-$3.66

Record

51%

2945-2881 (5826)

0X
0x50f7<$100
Up

Invested

$8.37

Value

$8.38

PnL

+$0.01

Record

51%

1297-1233 (2530)

pspspsps5<$100
Up

Invested

$7.84

Value

$8

PnL

+$0.16

Record

32%

958-2010 (2968)

13
13897651CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$5.51

Value

—

PnL

-$5.51

Record

43%

1118-1501 (2619)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.15

Value

—

PnL

-$0.15

Record

52%

2477-2289 (4766)

BL
blue.birdsCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$7.24

Value

—

PnL

-$7.24

Record

52%

4868-4560 (9428)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x727294eb...ae912f
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1794654600

Traders in this Market

BY

ByteBadger92

CTR

Down — $0

-$488.9
SO

soswald1

CTR

Down — $0

-$148.54

OhioRiskManagement

Up — $17

+$0.34
AS

asdcaxz

CTR

Down — $0

-$12.8
0X

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $11.25

-$3.66
0X

0x50f7

Up — $8.38

+$0.01

pspspsps5

Up — $8

+$0.16
13

13897651

CTR

Down — $0

-$5.51

MayorMamdani

CTR

Down — $0

-$0.15
BL

blue.birds

CTR

Down — $0

-$7.24
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